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Intrinsic ValueGuangzhou Lingnan Group Holdings Company Limited (000524.SZ)

Previous Close$12.74
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.74

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Guangzhou Lingnan Group Holdings operates as a diversified consumer services conglomerate primarily focused on tourism, hospitality, and leisure sectors within China's Guangdong province. The company's core revenue model integrates traditional tourism services with modern lifestyle offerings, generating income through hotel operations, scenic spot management, exhibition services, and comprehensive travel arrangements. Its business portfolio extends beyond conventional tourism to include internet cafes, food and beverage services, beauty and barber shops, and various entertainment venues such as karaoke halls and fitness centers, creating multiple revenue streams from both individual consumers and corporate clients. The group maintains a significant market position in Guangzhou's regional tourism ecosystem, leveraging its established brand recognition and extensive physical infrastructure to serve both domestic and international visitors. This diversified approach allows the company to capture value across the entire tourism value chain while mitigating seasonal fluctuations through complementary businesses including property management, retail operations, and vocational training services that cater to local residential and commercial markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 4.31 billion for the period, demonstrating substantial scale in China's competitive tourism sector. Net income reached CNY 150.1 million, translating to a net margin of approximately 3.5%, reflecting the typically thin margins in hospitality and tourism operations. Operating cash flow of CNY 373.5 million significantly exceeded capital expenditures of CNY 94.9 million, indicating healthy cash generation from core operations that supports ongoing business maintenance and selective expansion opportunities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.22, providing a baseline measure of shareholder returns from current operations. The company's capital efficiency appears moderate, with operating cash flow covering investment needs while maintaining sufficient liquidity. The business model demonstrates ability to convert tourism and service revenues into positive earnings, though the capital-intensive nature of hospitality assets requires ongoing investment to maintain competitive positioning.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Financial health appears robust with cash and equivalents of CNY 1.68 billion providing substantial liquidity coverage. Total debt of CNY 86.0 million represents a conservative leverage profile, with minimal debt burden relative to the company's cash position and market capitalization. This strong balance sheet provides flexibility to weather industry cyclicality and pursue strategic investments without significant financial strain.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a shareholder-friendly approach with a dividend per share of CNY 0.08, representing a payout ratio of approximately 36% based on current EPS. This balanced capital allocation strategy returns cash to investors while retaining earnings for business development. Growth prospects are tied to China's domestic tourism recovery and the company's ability to leverage its diversified service portfolio across Guangzhou's expanding consumer market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 10.17 billion, the company trades at a price-to-earnings multiple reflective of market expectations for China's tourism sector recovery. The beta of 0.646 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, potentially indicating investor perception of stable cash flows from the company's diversified service base despite cyclical exposure to tourism trends.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its integrated tourism ecosystem and established presence in Guangzhou's key tourism markets. Its diversified revenue base across hospitality, retail, and entertainment services provides natural hedging against sector-specific downturns. The outlook depends on China's domestic consumption trends and the company's execution in modernizing service offerings while maintaining cost discipline in a competitive landscape characterized by evolving consumer preferences and digital transformation pressures.

Sources

Company financial reportsShenzhen Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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