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Intrinsic ValueNortheast Electric Development Company Limited (000585.SZ)

Previous Close$0.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Northeast Electric Development Company Limited operates with a dual-focus business model, primarily centered on the power transmission and transformation equipment sector within China. The company engages in the comprehensive research, design, development, production, and sale of critical electrical infrastructure components, including specialized electrical equipment and enclosed busbars. This positions it as an integrated player in the energy value chain, serving the nation's ongoing grid modernization and capacity expansion initiatives. Beyond its industrial core, the company maintains a secondary revenue stream through hotel management, catering, and accommodation services, creating an unusual but strategic diversification within the consumer cyclical sector. Its market position is inherently linked to domestic infrastructure investment cycles and energy policy, operating in a competitive landscape dominated by larger state-owned enterprises. The company's additional offering of engineering design and consultation services for new energy projects indicates an adaptive strategy to capitalize on China's renewable energy transition, though its scale remains modest compared to industry leaders.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2021, the company reported revenue of CNY 83.7 million. It demonstrated strong profitability with net income reaching CNY 176.0 million, resulting in a remarkably high net margin. Operating cash flow was positive at CNY 5.4 million, while capital expenditures were minimal at CNY -87 thousand, suggesting a capital-light operational model for the period. The significant net income relative to revenue warrants further analysis of its components.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.0193. The generation of positive operating cash flow, which substantially exceeded its negligible capital expenditures, indicates reasonable cash-based earnings power. The relationship between net income and operating cash flow suggests differences in cash generation versus accounting profitability, which may be influenced by non-cash items or working capital movements during the fiscal year.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet showed a cash and equivalents position of CNY 18.6 million against total debt of CNY 33.97 million. This results in a net debt position, indicating leverage. The overall financial health appears to be managed, but the debt level relative to cash reserves requires consideration of the company's ability to service its obligations from ongoing operations, especially given the modest operating cash flow.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintained a shareholder return policy, distributing a dividend of CNY 0.104 per share for the fiscal year. This dividend significantly exceeds the diluted EPS of CNY 0.0193, indicating a payout that may not be fully covered by current-year earnings and could be sourced from retained earnings. This trend suggests a commitment to returns but raises questions about the sustainability of such a policy without stronger underlying profit growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The provided market capitalization is listed as zero, which is inconsistent with a publicly traded entity and indicates a potential data anomaly. The beta of 0.66 suggests the stock has historically been less volatile than the broader market. A proper valuation assessment cannot be conducted without a verifiable market capitalization figure.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its niche within China's essential power infrastructure sector, coupled with its diversified hotel services. Its outlook is tied to domestic energy investment and tourism trends. The significant dividend payout, despite modest earnings, signals a shareholder-friendly approach but highlights the critical need for sustainable profit growth to support its capital allocation strategy long-term. Its involvement in new energy engineering services could provide future growth avenues.

Sources

Company FilingsPublic Financial Data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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