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Intrinsic ValueMyhome Real Estate Development Group Co., Ltd. (000667.SZ)

Previous Close$0.58
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.58

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Myhome Real Estate Development Group operates as a specialized real estate developer in China, focusing on property development with an innovative approach that integrates smart house manufacturing services. The company has expanded its operational scope to include agriculture business, creating a diversified portfolio beyond traditional real estate. Operating primarily from its Wuhan headquarters, Myhome leverages its established presence since 1989 to navigate China's complex property market, which has faced significant regulatory changes and market adjustments in recent years. The company's core revenue model centers on property development sales, complemented by its smart manufacturing capabilities that potentially offer cost efficiencies in construction. This positioning places Myhome in the competitive mid-tier segment of Chinese real estate developers, where differentiation through technology integration and operational efficiency becomes critical for sustainability. The company's venture into agriculture represents a strategic diversification effort to mitigate cyclical real estate risks, though real estate remains its primary revenue driver within China's evolving property sector landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 5.29 billion for FY2022, but faced significant profitability challenges with a net loss of CNY -1.97 billion. This substantial loss, representing approximately -37% of revenue, indicates severe operational inefficiencies and potential asset impairments common in the distressed Chinese property sector. The negative operating cash flow of CNY -538.7 million further underscores working capital pressures and challenging market conditions affecting cash generation capabilities across the development cycle.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Myhome's earnings power was severely compromised in FY2022, with diluted EPS of -CNY 0.80 reflecting deep operational challenges. The combination of negative net income and negative operating cash flow suggests fundamental issues in converting development activities into sustainable profitability. Capital expenditure was minimal at CNY -5.31 million, indicating constrained investment capacity amid financial stress and potentially delayed project development timelines affecting future revenue visibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows strained financial health with total debt of CNY 2.82 billion significantly exceeding cash reserves of CNY 396.3 million, creating a substantial liquidity gap. This debt-heavy structure, common among Chinese property developers facing market downturns, raises concerns about refinancing capabilities and ongoing operational sustainability. The limited cash position relative to obligations suggests heightened financial risk in a sector experiencing widespread credit constraints and regulatory scrutiny.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite the challenging financial performance, the company maintained a dividend payment of CNY 0.2539 per share, which may reflect commitment to shareholder returns or specific corporate policies. However, paying dividends amid substantial losses and negative cash flow could indicate potential strain on financial resources. The broader context suggests contraction rather than growth, consistent with the severe downturn experienced across China's real estate sector during this period.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 1.43 billion, the market appears to be pricing the company at a significant discount to its reported financial metrics, reflecting investor skepticism about recovery prospects. The beta of 0.47 indicates lower volatility than the broader market, potentially suggesting perceived stability or limited trading interest. The valuation likely incorporates substantial risk premiums for sector-wide challenges and company-specific financial distress.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Myhome's long-established presence since 1989 provides historical market knowledge, while its smart manufacturing focus could offer potential cost advantages if successfully implemented. However, the outlook remains challenging given the structural issues in China's property market and the company's current financial position. Success will depend on navigating sector consolidation, managing debt obligations, and effectively executing its diversified business model amid persistent market headwinds and regulatory uncertainties.

Sources

Company Annual ReportShenzhen Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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