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Intrinsic ValueHangjin Technology Co., Ltd. (000818.SZ)

Previous Close$22.05
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$22.05

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hangjin Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a diversified chemical manufacturer based in China, with a historical foundation dating back to 1939. The company's core operations center on the production and sale of a broad portfolio of chemical products, including caustic soda, polyvinyl chloride (PVC), propylene oxide, and various polyether and chlorinated benzene derivatives. This positions it firmly within the basic materials sector, serving industrial demand across multiple downstream industries. Beyond its traditional chemical roots, the company has strategically expanded into the technology sector, developing and offering high-end chips such as graphics processing units (GPUs), specialized FPGAs, memory chips, and bus interface chips, alongside communication radio frequency products. This dual focus on chemicals and semiconductors creates a unique, albeit complex, business model that spans two distinct but capital-intensive industries. Its market position is thus a hybrid, competing in the mature, cyclical chlor-alkali market while attempting to establish a foothold in the competitive and innovation-driven semiconductor landscape. The company's additional activities include investments across various industries, suggesting a further layer of diversification beyond its operational segments.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported revenue of approximately CNY 4.17 billion. However, this top-line performance was overshadowed by a significant net loss of nearly CNY 979 million, resulting in a diluted earnings per share of -CNY 1.46. Operational efficiency appears challenged, as evidenced by negative operating cash flow of approximately CNY 92.7 million, indicating that core business activities consumed cash rather than generating it during the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is currently under severe pressure, as reflected in the substantial net loss. Capital allocation has been highly intensive, with capital expenditures of nearly CNY 1.93 billion significantly exceeding the negative operating cash flow. This suggests heavy investment in capacity or new projects, likely related to its semiconductor initiatives, which have not yet translated into profitable operations or positive cash generation.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Hangjin Technology maintains a cash and equivalents position of CNY 1.34 billion, which provides a liquidity buffer. However, this is offset by total debt of CNY 2.31 billion, indicating a leveraged financial structure. The negative cash flow from operations raises questions about the sustainability of its current debt levels and its ability to service obligations without relying on external financing or asset sales.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite the reported net loss, the company maintained a dividend payment of CNY 0.05 per share. This distribution during a period of significant financial loss and negative cash flow may signal a commitment to shareholder returns, but it also highlights a potential strain on financial resources. The aggressive capital expenditure points to a growth-oriented strategy, though the current profitability trends are negative.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market capitalization stands at approximately CNY 15.79 billion. A beta of 0.334 suggests the stock has historically been less volatile than the broader market, which may reflect its status as a state-influenced enterprise or the market's perception of its diversified, albeit currently unprofitable, business model. The valuation appears to incorporate expectations for a future recovery or success in its newer technology ventures.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its long-established presence in the chemical industry and its ambitious diversification into semiconductors. The outlook is contingent on its ability to navigate the cyclicality of its chemical business while successfully executing its capital-intensive technology investments. The key challenge is to achieve profitability and positive cash flow from its expanded operations, which will be critical for long-term financial health and debt management.

Sources

Company FilingsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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