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Intrinsic ValueShandong Haihua Co.,Ltd (000822.SZ)

Previous Close$6.02
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.02

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Shandong Haihua Co., Ltd. operates as a significant chemical producer in China's basic materials sector, specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of industrial chemicals. Its core product portfolio includes soda ash, a fundamental raw material extensively utilized in the glass manufacturing, inorganic salt production, and metallurgy industries. The company also produces bromine, which serves critical functions in pharmaceuticals, dyestuffs, and fine chemicals, alongside calcium chloride, widely applied for snow melting, oil drilling, and as a desiccant. This diversified chemical output positions the firm within various industrial value chains, catering to both domestic and international markets through its export activities. Headquartered in Weifang, Shandong, a key industrial region, the company leverages its geographic advantage for resource access and logistics. Its market position is built on supplying essential inputs to downstream sectors such as construction, manufacturing, and energy, making its performance sensitive to broader industrial and economic cycles in China. The business model is fundamentally industrial B2B, relying on long-term supply relationships and operational scale to maintain competitiveness in the cost-sensitive chemical production landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported revenue of CNY 6.01 billion. However, net income was significantly lower at CNY 39.2 million, indicating thin net profit margins. This disparity highlights potential pressures from input costs or competitive pricing within the chemical industry. A positive sign is the robust operating cash flow of CNY 1.66 billion, which significantly exceeds capital expenditures, suggesting efficient core operational management and strong cash generation from its business activities before investments.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power appears constrained, with diluted earnings per share of CNY 0.04 reflecting modest bottom-line performance. The substantial operating cash flow relative to net income suggests strong non-cash charges or working capital management that boosts cash generation. Capital expenditures of CNY 161.8 million were well-covered by operating cash flow, indicating the company can fund its necessary investments internally without straining its financial resources, which is a marker of capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Shandong Haihua maintains a conservative financial structure, evidenced by a cash and equivalents balance of CNY 2.22 billion against total debt of CNY 437.1 million. This significant net cash position provides a strong liquidity buffer and implies low financial risk. The balance sheet appears robust, offering flexibility to withstand industry downturns or pursue strategic opportunities without immediate reliance on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates a shareholder-friendly capital allocation policy by paying a dividend of CNY 0.10 per share. This dividend, which is higher than the EPS, indicates a payout that may be supported by the strong cash flow generation rather than current earnings alone. Assessing organic growth trends requires multi-year data, but the current profitability level suggests a focus on stability and returning cash to shareholders.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 5.15 billion, the market valuation implies certain expectations about future performance. The company's beta of 0.604 suggests its stock has historically been less volatile than the broader market, which may appeal to investors seeking lower-risk exposure to the basic materials sector. The valuation multiples would be influenced by the current low level of earnings.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its established position in essential industrial chemicals and a very strong, liquid balance sheet. The outlook is likely tied to the health of its end-markets, such as glass manufacturing and construction in China. Its financial health provides a solid foundation to navigate cyclical challenges, but long-term success will depend on managing cost pressures and maintaining competitive positioning within the dynamic Chinese chemical industry.

Sources

Publicly disclosed financial data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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