investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueTUS ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT Co., Ltd. (000826.SZ)

Previous Close$2.02
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$2.02

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

TUS Environmental Science and Technology Development Co., Ltd. operates as a comprehensive environmental services provider in China's growing waste management sector. The company generates revenue through an integrated portfolio of solid waste disposal and utilization services, environmental ecological rehabilitation, and specialized sanitation equipment manufacturing. Its core operations span the entire waste value chain, from collection using its proprietary fleet of sanitation vehicles to advanced recycling, biomass resource utilization, and renewable resources recovery. This diversified approach positions TUS Environmental to capitalize on China's increasing urbanization and stringent environmental regulations. The company maintains a distinct market position by combining technology-driven solutions with traditional waste management services, offering municipalities and industrial clients end-to-end environmental management. Its development of Internet environmental sanitation platforms represents a strategic move toward digitalization in a traditionally labor-intensive industry. While operating in a competitive market dominated by state-owned enterprises, TUS Environmental leverages its 30-year operational history and technological capabilities to serve China's pressing environmental challenges, particularly in urban waste management and ecological restoration projects.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 5.24 billion for the period, demonstrating substantial scale in its operations. However, profitability remains challenged with a significant net loss of CNY 3.06 billion and diluted EPS of -2.23. Operating cash flow generation was positive at CNY 973 million, indicating the core business maintains cash-generating capability despite the reported accounting losses. Capital expenditures of CNY 183 million suggest moderate ongoing investment in operational infrastructure and equipment maintenance.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power is substantially impaired by the substantial net loss position. The positive operating cash flow suggests underlying business operations continue to generate cash, though this is insufficient to offset the factors driving the accounting loss. The company's capital efficiency metrics are challenging to assess given the loss position, requiring analysis of whether current investments will translate to future profitability improvements in China's evolving environmental services market.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows cash and equivalents of CNY 805 million against total debt of CNY 8.66 billion, indicating a leveraged financial position. The debt burden appears substantial relative to the company's market capitalization of approximately CNY 3.25 billion. This debt structure may reflect significant historical investments in waste management infrastructure and equipment, though it presents clear financial health concerns that warrant careful monitoring of debt servicing capabilities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a zero dividend policy, consistent with its current loss-making position and likely focused on preserving capital for operational needs. Growth trends must be evaluated in context of China's environmental policy direction and urbanization patterns, though the current financial results suggest challenges in translating top-line revenue into sustainable bottom-line growth. The market capitalization suggests investors are pricing in significant uncertainty about future recovery prospects.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 3.25 billion, the market appears to be valuing the company at a significant discount to its reported revenue base, reflecting concerns about the substantial losses and leveraged balance sheet. The beta of 0.463 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, potentially indicating perceived stability in essential service provision despite financial challenges. Current valuation metrics likely incorporate expectations for either a operational turnaround or continued financial stress.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its long-standing operational presence in China's environmental sector and integrated service model. The outlook remains challenging given the current financial position, though underlying demand for environmental services in China provides potential recovery opportunities. Success likely depends on improving operational efficiency, managing debt obligations, and capitalizing on regulatory trends favoring professional waste management services. The company's technology development focus could provide differentiation in an increasingly competitive market.

Sources

Company financial reportingShenzhen Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount