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Intrinsic ValueGreat Wall International ACG Co., Ltd. (000835.SZ)

Previous Close$0.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Great Wall International ACG operates within China's burgeoning animation, comics, and gaming (ACG) sector, focusing on a diversified revenue model spanning content creation, tourism integration, and merchandise sales. The company develops and distributes original animation games and related intellectual property, leveraging its foundational assets to build a comprehensive ecosystem. Its operations are strategically positioned at the intersection of digital entertainment and consumer products, aiming to monetize popular culture through multiple channels. This approach involves creating proprietary animated content, developing derivative toys and collectibles, and integrating themed tourism experiences, targeting both domestic youth markets and family entertainment segments. Within China's competitive ACG landscape, the company faces significant competition from both state-supported cultural enterprises and private digital media giants. Its market position is characterized by its long-standing presence since 1994, yet it operates as a niche player relative to larger industry leaders, requiring continuous innovation in content and distribution to maintain relevance.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 2.37 million for FY 2021, which is an exceptionally low figure relative to its operational scope. This minimal revenue generation was accompanied by a substantial net loss of approximately CNY 453.9 million, indicating severe operational challenges and cost inefficiencies. The significant disparity between revenue and expenses suggests fundamental issues with the company's business model scalability and market acceptance of its products. Operating cash flow remained positive but minimal at CNY 175 thousand, while capital expenditures were negligible, reflecting constrained investment activity.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Great Wall International ACG demonstrated severely impaired earnings power with a diluted EPS of -CNY 1.39, highlighting deep profitability challenges. The massive net loss relative to its minimal revenue base indicates extremely poor capital allocation and operational inefficiency. The company's ability to generate returns on invested capital appears critically compromised, with financial performance suggesting unsustainable operations. The negative earnings power raises substantial concerns about the viability of its current business model and strategic direction.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company's balance sheet shows cash and equivalents of CNY 1.43 million against total debt of CNY 663.22 million, indicating a highly leveraged financial position with limited liquidity. This substantial debt burden relative to minimal cash reserves creates significant solvency risks and financial distress. The debt-to-equity structure appears unbalanced, potentially limiting operational flexibility and future financing options. The financial health assessment suggests vulnerability to ongoing operational challenges and potential covenant compliance issues.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite the challenging financial results, the company maintained a dividend payment of CNY 0.114 per share, which appears inconsistent with its substantial losses and weak cash position. This dividend policy raises questions about capital allocation priorities given the company's apparent financial distress. Growth trends are not evident from the FY 2021 data, with minimal revenue suggesting either market contraction or strategic pivots underway. The combination of significant losses with ongoing dividend payments indicates potential strategic inconsistencies.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a reported market capitalization of zero, the company appears to face extreme valuation challenges, potentially reflecting delisting risks or data reporting issues. The beta of 0.81 suggests moderate market correlation, though the valuation metrics are unavailable for proper assessment. Market expectations likely incorporate the substantial financial losses and leveraged position, pricing in significant operational turnaround requirements or potential restructuring scenarios. The valuation scenario reflects deep investor skepticism about recovery prospects.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's primary strategic advantage lies in its long-established presence in China's ACG market since 1994, though this has not translated to financial stability. Its diversified approach across animation, tourism, and merchandise provides multiple potential revenue streams, but execution challenges are evident. The outlook remains highly uncertain given the substantial losses, high debt load, and minimal revenue generation. Successful turnaround would require significant restructuring, potentially including debt reorganization, operational scaling, and improved market positioning within China's competitive entertainment landscape.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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