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Intrinsic ValueTianjin Futong Information Science&Technology Co.,Ltd. (000836.SZ)

Previous Close$0.37
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.37

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tianjin Futong Information Science & Technology Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer within China's optical communication infrastructure sector. The company's core business revolves around the research, development, production, and supply of essential optical communication products, primarily serving the extensive network construction needs across the country. Its product portfolio is strategically focused on three key segments: optical fiber preforms, which form the foundational material; optical fibers for signal transmission; and finished optical cables for various deployment scenarios. The company also maintains expertise in quartz materials, particularly large optical fiber preform bushing tubes, indicating a vertically integrated approach to its supply chain. Tianjin Futong positions itself as a critical supplier for national information network construction, backbone networks, metropolitan area networks, access networks, and base station infrastructure, including indoor distribution systems. This places the firm squarely within the broader telecommunications and technology hardware ecosystem, supporting China's digital transformation. Its market position is inherently tied to domestic infrastructure investment cycles and the rollout of advanced communication technologies like 5G and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) projects. The 2020 rebranding from Tianjin Futong Xinmao Science & Technology reflects a strategic sharpening of its identity around information science and technology, aligning with national priorities.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2023, the company reported revenue of approximately CNY 298 million. However, it recorded a significant net loss of CNY -227.5 million, resulting in a diluted EPS of -CNY 0.19. Despite the negative bottom line, the company generated positive operating cash flow of CNY 123.3 million, which substantially exceeded its modest capital expenditures of CNY -7.3 million. This indicates that while the core operations are cash-generative, profitability is severely challenged by factors likely including high operating costs or impairments.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power was substantially negative in FY 2023, as evidenced by the deep net loss. The positive operating cash flow suggests that non-cash charges are a major contributor to the net income deficit. The relationship between operating cash flow and capital expenditures indicates that the company is not currently engaged in significant asset expansion, potentially focusing on managing its existing capital base amidst challenging market conditions.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a cash position of CNY 33.4 million, which is modest relative to total debt of CNY 626.6 million. This high debt load, coupled with the recent net loss, raises significant concerns about financial health and liquidity. The substantial leverage presents a clear challenge, requiring careful management of debt obligations and potentially necessitating restructuring or refinancing efforts to ensure ongoing solvency.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company did not pay a dividend in FY 2023, which is consistent with its loss-making position. The financial results indicate a period of contraction rather than growth, with revenue levels and profitability reflecting significant operational headwinds. The trends suggest the company is navigating a difficult phase in its business cycle, prioritizing financial stability over shareholder returns or aggressive expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 447 million, the market valuation appears to incorporate expectations for a potential recovery or asset value beyond current earnings. The exceptionally low beta of 0.201 suggests the stock has low correlation with broader market movements, which may reflect its distressed financial situation or unique, company-specific risk factors that dominate its price action.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its specialized role within China's critical optical communication infrastructure supply chain. Its long-standing presence since 1997 provides industry experience. The outlook is contingent on a recovery in domestic infrastructure spending, successful debt management, and a return to operational profitability. The company must navigate its high leverage and recent losses to capitalize on future demand drivers like 5G and national broadband initiatives.

Sources

Company Annual Report (2023)Shenzhen Stock Exchange

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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