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Intrinsic ValueTianshan Material Co., Ltd. (000877.SZ)

Previous Close$5.66
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$5.66

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tianshan Material Co., Ltd. operates as a prominent cement and building materials manufacturer in China's basic materials sector. The company's core revenue model centers on the production and sale of a comprehensive portfolio of cementitious products, including normal cement, composite cement, portland cement, concrete, and clinker. As a key player in the construction materials industry, Tianshan Material serves infrastructure development, residential construction, and commercial building projects across its operational regions. The company maintains a significant market position within China's competitive cement landscape, leveraging its integrated production capabilities and established distribution networks. Its strategic location in Urumqi provides access to regional markets while navigating the cyclical nature of construction demand. Tianshan Material's operations are deeply embedded in China's economic development trajectory, with performance closely tied to government infrastructure spending and real estate market conditions. The company competes on factors including product quality, cost efficiency, and geographic coverage within the fragmented Chinese cement industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Tianshan Material generated substantial revenue of CNY 87.0 billion for the period, demonstrating its significant scale within the construction materials sector. However, the company reported a net loss of CNY 598 million, indicating margin pressure amid challenging market conditions. Operating cash flow remained robust at CNY 12.5 billion, providing essential liquidity for ongoing operations despite the profitability challenges affecting the bottom line.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power was constrained during the period, with diluted EPS of negative CNY 0.0746 reflecting industry-wide headwinds. Capital expenditures of CNY 9.2 billion indicate continued investment in production capacity and maintenance, though the negative earnings suggest suboptimal returns on these investments in the current market environment. The cash flow generation capability remains a relative strength despite profitability challenges.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Tianshan Material maintains a solid cash position of CNY 12.1 billion, providing liquidity buffer against market volatility. However, the company carries significant total debt of CNY 89.2 billion, resulting in a leveraged capital structure. The balance between substantial debt obligations and available liquidity will be critical for navigating the cyclical construction materials market while meeting financial commitments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite reporting a net loss for the period, the company maintained a dividend payment of CNY 0.11 per share, suggesting a commitment to shareholder returns. The construction materials sector faces cyclical challenges, with growth prospects tied to China's infrastructure investment cycles and real estate market recovery. The dividend policy appears maintained despite current profitability pressures, indicating management's confidence in medium-term recovery.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 47.4 billion, the market valuation reflects investor concerns about current profitability challenges. The beta of 0.673 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, potentially indicating perceived stability despite sector headwinds. The valuation multiple appears to incorporate expectations for eventual sector recovery and profitability normalization.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Tianshan Material's strategic advantages include its established market position, integrated production capabilities, and regional footprint in China's construction materials sector. The outlook remains contingent on recovery in construction activity and infrastructure investment. The company's ability to manage costs, optimize operations, and navigate regulatory environments will be crucial for returning to profitability amid evolving market conditions in China's building materials industry.

Sources

Company filingsFinancial data providers

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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