investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueElec-Tech International Co., Ltd. (002005.SZ)

Previous Close$2.92
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$2.92

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Elec-Tech International operates as a diversified manufacturer in China's consumer cyclical sector, specializing in small household appliances and comprehensive LED lighting solutions. The company generates revenue through the design, production, and distribution of its products under the ETi brand, targeting both domestic and international markets. Its extensive portfolio spans light source appliances, indoor and outdoor illumination lamps, and LED chips, serving residential, commercial, and municipal lighting needs. Within the competitive furnishings, fixtures, and appliances industry, Elec-Tech leverages its established manufacturing base in Zhuhai to maintain a presence as an integrated lighting specialist. The company's position is characterized by its vertical integration capabilities in LED technology, from chip production to finished luminaires. However, it operates in a highly fragmented market with intense price competition, requiring continuous innovation and cost management to sustain its market share against both local manufacturers and global lighting giants.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 737.4 million for the period, but this was overshadowed by a significant net loss of CNY -199.3 million, resulting in a diluted EPS of -CNY 0.11. Operational efficiency appears challenged, as evidenced by negative operating cash flow of CNY -81.1 million, which indicates potential strain in converting sales into cash. Capital expenditures of CNY -37.1 million suggest ongoing, though moderated, investment in maintaining or upgrading productive capacity amidst these financial pressures.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power is substantially negative, reflecting operational difficulties or potential market headwinds impacting the core appliance and LED segments. The negative cash flow from operations, exceeding capital investments, points to inefficiencies in working capital management or underlying profitability issues. The company's ability to generate returns on invested capital is currently impaired, necessitating a strategic turnaround to restore positive earnings and cash generation capabilities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a cash position of CNY 153.1 million against total debt of CNY 72.6 million, indicating a net cash position that provides a degree of short-term liquidity. This suggests the company is not highly leveraged, which may offer some financial flexibility. However, the consistent negative cash flows, if prolonged, could erode this liquidity cushion and challenge the company's ability to meet obligations without external financing or asset sales.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The financial results indicate a contractionary phase, with profitability metrics deeply negative. The company did not distribute a dividend, which is consistent with its loss-making position and negative cash flow. The focus appears to be on navigating current operational challenges rather than shareholder returns, with growth prospects contingent on a successful reversal of the negative earnings trend and a return to sustainable revenue expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 4.0 billion, the market valuation appears to incorporate expectations beyond the current weak financial performance, possibly factoring in the company's asset base, brand value, or potential for recovery. The beta of 0.697 suggests the stock is less volatile than the broader market, which may indicate investor perception of it being a more stable, albeit currently distressed, entity within its sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Elec-Tech's key strategic advantages include its long-established presence since 1996, vertical integration in LED manufacturing, and a diversified product portfolio under the ETi brand. The outlook is cautious, hinging on the company's ability to execute a operational turnaround to stem losses and return to cash flow positivity. Success will depend on effectively managing costs, optimizing its product mix for higher margins, and navigating the competitive dynamics of the Chinese consumer goods and lighting markets.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount