investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Dun'an Artificial Environment Co., Ltd (002011.SZ)

Previous Close$12.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Dun'an Artificial Environment operates as a specialized industrial machinery manufacturer focused on climate control and refrigeration systems. The company generates revenue through the design, production, and distribution of a comprehensive portfolio of refrigeration components, thermal controls, and HVAC systems. Its product ecosystem includes electronic expansion valves, four-way valves, heat exchangers, and commercial air conditioning units, serving both residential and industrial applications. Dun'an has established a significant presence in China's industrial machinery sector with additional international operations, positioning itself as an integrated solutions provider rather than merely a component supplier. The company leverages its 1987 founding heritage to build long-term relationships in the nuclear power HVAC and commercial refrigeration segments, while expanding into intelligent manufacturing equipment like MEMS sensors and collaborative robots. This diversification strategy allows Dun'an to capture value across multiple industrial automation and environmental control verticals, creating a resilient business model less dependent on any single market cycle. The company's headquarters in Hangzhou places it within one of China's major industrial hubs, facilitating supply chain efficiency and technological collaboration opportunities.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company demonstrated solid financial performance with CNY 12.68 billion in revenue and net income of CNY 1.04 billion, translating to a healthy net margin of approximately 8.2%. Operating cash flow generation remained robust at CNY 1.16 billion, significantly exceeding capital expenditures of CNY 442 million. This indicates efficient conversion of earnings into cash and disciplined investment in productive assets, supporting ongoing operations without excessive external financing requirements.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Dun'an exhibited strong earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 0.99, reflecting effective utilization of its capital base. The substantial operating cash flow relative to net income suggests high-quality earnings without significant accounting distortions. The company's capital expenditure strategy appears focused on maintaining technological competitiveness while avoiding over-investment, as evidenced by positive free cash flow generation after accounting for necessary investments in productive capacity.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a conservative financial structure with CNY 3.20 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of CNY 782 million, resulting in a net cash position that provides significant financial flexibility. This strong liquidity profile, combined with moderate leverage, positions Dun'an to weather economic downturns and pursue strategic investments without compromising financial stability. The balance sheet structure reflects prudent risk management consistent with industrial manufacturing cycles.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

While specific growth rates are unavailable, the company's revenue scale suggests established market positioning. Notably, Dun'an maintains a zero dividend policy, retaining earnings entirely for reinvestment in business expansion, research development, or strategic initiatives. This approach aligns with capital-intensive industrial manufacturers prioritizing organic growth and technological advancement over immediate shareholder returns, particularly given the company's expansion into intelligent manufacturing and sensor technologies.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 13.52 billion, the company trades at a P/E ratio around 13 based on current earnings, suggesting moderate market expectations relative to industrial sector peers. The beta of 0.383 indicates lower volatility than the broader market, potentially reflecting the company's established market position and diversified industrial customer base. Valuation metrics appear reasonable given the company's profitability and financial health characteristics.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Dun'an's strategic advantages include its comprehensive product portfolio spanning traditional refrigeration components to advanced intelligent manufacturing equipment. The company's decades of industry experience and technological capabilities in MEMS sensors and nuclear power HVAC systems create barriers to entry. Future prospects will depend on execution in high-growth segments like industrial automation while maintaining leadership in core refrigeration markets, particularly as China emphasizes energy efficiency and environmental standards.

Sources

Company description and financial data provided

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount