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Intrinsic ValueHuangshan Novel Co.,Ltd (002014.SZ)

Previous Close$12.59
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.59

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Huangshan Novel Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer of advanced packaging materials within China's consumer cyclical sector. The company generates revenue through the production and sale of a diverse portfolio of packaging solutions, including plastic color-printing, laminating flexible films, vacuum metallized films, and multi-functional films. Its product line extends to specialized segments such as medical packaging, breathable and protective membranes, and injection molding materials, catering to a broad industrial client base. The company serves critical end-markets including foodstuff, daily chemicals, pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, electronics, and building materials, positioning it as an integral supplier to essential consumer and industrial supply chains. Huangshan Novel has established a notable international footprint, exporting its products to Europe, the United States, Mexico, Japan, the Middle East, and other Asian regions, which diversifies its revenue streams beyond the domestic Chinese market. Founded in 1992 and based in Huangshan, the company leverages decades of manufacturing expertise to maintain its position as a reliable, mid-tier player in the competitive packaging and containers industry, focusing on value-added, functional materials rather than commoditized packaging products.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, Huangshan Novel reported revenue of CNY 3.53 billion, demonstrating its substantial scale within the packaging sector. The company achieved a net income of CNY 467.8 million, translating to a healthy net profit margin of approximately 13.3%. Strong operating cash flow generation of CNY 461.5 million indicates effective management of working capital and core operational efficiency, comfortably covering capital expenditures of CNY 152 million and supporting its financial flexibility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is evidenced by a diluted EPS of CNY 0.76. The significant positive spread between operating cash flow and capital expenditures suggests the business generates ample internal funds for reinvestment and shareholder returns. This robust cash conversion efficiency underscores a capital-light model relative to its earnings output, supporting sustainable growth without excessive external financing requirements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Huangshan Novel maintains a solid financial position with cash and equivalents of CNY 1.11 billion against total debt of CNY 922.7 million, resulting in a net cash position. This conservative capital structure provides a strong liquidity buffer and indicates low financial risk. The company's balance sheet strength offers significant capacity to navigate economic cycles and pursue strategic opportunities as they arise.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, with a dividend per share of CNY 0.62. This represents a substantial payout relative to its earnings, indicating a shareholder-friendly policy. The balance between disciplined capital expenditures and a generous dividend suggests a mature company prioritizing stable returns while maintaining the operational capacity for organic growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 7.0 billion, the market values the company at a price-to-earnings multiple derived from its current earnings. A beta of 0.351 suggests the stock has historically exhibited lower volatility than the broader market, which may reflect its stable business model and position in essential packaging markets, implying investor perception of lower systematic risk.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Huangshan Novel's strategic advantages lie in its diversified product portfolio and established export channels, which mitigate regional economic dependencies. Its focus on functional and specialized packaging materials, particularly for pharmaceutical and high-value consumer goods, provides a defensive quality. The outlook remains tied to global demand for sophisticated packaging solutions, with the company well-positioned to benefit from trends in hygiene, product safety, and supply chain resilience.

Sources

Company FinancialsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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