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Intrinsic ValueLiJiang YuLong Tourism Co., Ltd. (002033.SZ)

Previous Close$9.74
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$9.74

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

LiJiang YuLong Tourism operates as a diversified tourism services company centered around the iconic Lijiang destination in China's Yunnan province. The company's core revenue model integrates premium hotel operations with complementary tourism infrastructure, primarily generating income through its portfolio of upscale properties including InterContinental Hefu Resort Hotel and Hotel Indigo Lijiang Ancient Town. Beyond accommodation, the company derives significant revenue from tourist ropeway operations and related support services, creating a vertically integrated tourism experience. The business further diversifies through construction services and insurance offerings tailored to the tourism, real estate, and hospitality sectors, providing additional revenue streams. Operating in the consumer cyclical sector, the company leverages its strategic location in one of China's most popular tourist destinations, positioning itself as a comprehensive service provider rather than just a hotel operator. This integrated approach allows the company to capture value across multiple touchpoints of the tourist experience, from transportation and accommodation to risk management services. The company's market position is strengthened by its long-standing presence since 2001 and deep roots in the local tourism ecosystem, though it remains relatively small compared to national tourism giants.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 808 million in revenue for the period, demonstrating solid operational scale within its regional market. Profitability appears healthy with net income of CNY 211 million, translating to a net margin of approximately 26%, indicating efficient cost management relative to industry peers. Operating cash flow of CNY 329 million significantly exceeds net income, suggesting strong cash conversion and operational efficiency. Capital expenditures of CNY 137 million reflect ongoing investments in maintaining and potentially expanding tourism infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of CNY 0.38 reflects the company's earnings capacity relative to its equity base. The substantial operating cash flow generation relative to net income indicates robust underlying business performance and effective working capital management. The company demonstrates strong cash-based returns, with operating cash flow covering capital expenditures by approximately 2.4 times, suggesting disciplined capital allocation and the ability to self-fund growth initiatives while maintaining financial flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet appears conservatively positioned with CNY 743 million in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of CNY 8 million, resulting in a net cash position. This strong liquidity profile provides significant financial resilience, particularly important in the cyclical tourism industry. The minimal leverage indicates a low-risk financial structure with ample capacity to withstand industry downturns or pursue strategic investments without relying on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a shareholder-friendly approach with a dividend per share of CNY 0.35, representing a substantial payout relative to EPS and indicating management's confidence in sustainable cash generation. The dividend policy, combined with the company's net cash position, suggests a balanced capital allocation strategy that returns excess capital to shareholders while maintaining financial flexibility for organic growth opportunities in China's evolving tourism market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 5.18 billion, the company trades at a P/E ratio around 24.6 times based on current earnings. The beta of 0.364 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, possibly reflecting the company's established regional position and stable cash flows. The valuation appears to incorporate expectations for continued recovery and growth in China's domestic tourism sector post-pandemic.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its prime location in a UNESCO World Heritage site, diversified revenue streams across hospitality and tourism services, and a conservative financial structure. The outlook depends on China's domestic tourism recovery, regional tourism policies, and the company's ability to maintain its premium positioning. The integrated business model provides natural hedges against sector-specific challenges, while the strong balance sheet offers stability during market fluctuations.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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