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Intrinsic ValueGuangdong Construction Engineering Group Co., Ltd. (002060.SZ)

Previous Close$3.81
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$3.81

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Guangdong Construction Engineering Group operates as a comprehensive construction and engineering enterprise primarily serving the Chinese infrastructure market. The company generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of large-scale projects, including water conservancy and hydropower facilities, municipal public works, highway construction, and housing developments. Its core business model revolves around engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) contracts, supplemented by specialized services in mechanical and electrical installation, foundation engineering, and architectural decoration. The firm has strategically expanded into renewable energy sectors, engaging in hydropower, wind power, and solar energy project development, which provides additional revenue streams beyond traditional construction. Operating within China's robust infrastructure development landscape, the company leverages its provincial base in Guangdong to secure contracts for critical public works. Its market position is strengthened by vertical integration capabilities, offering services ranging from initial survey and design to construction, operation, and maintenance of facilities. This integrated approach allows the company to capture value across the entire project lifecycle. Furthermore, ancillary activities such as building materials wholesale, steel structure fabrication, and investment in mining and renewable energy resources contribute to its diversified income base and enhance its competitive standing in the industrials sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported substantial revenue of CNY 68.3 billion for the period, demonstrating its significant scale in the construction sector. Net income reached CNY 1.17 billion, resulting in a net profit margin of approximately 1.7%, which is characteristic of the competitive, low-margin nature of the engineering and construction industry. Operating cash flow was positive at CNY 3.56 billion, indicating the company's ability to generate cash from its core operations, though this must be evaluated against substantial capital expenditure requirements.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.31, reflecting the earnings power distributed across its shareholder base. The company maintained a capital expenditure program of CNY 2.86 billion, representing significant investment in maintaining and expanding its operational capabilities. The relationship between operating cash flow and capital expenditures suggests the company is funding a portion of its investments through internally generated cash, which is a positive indicator of capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 22.58 billion, providing substantial financial flexibility. However, this is offset by total debt of CNY 32.04 billion, indicating a leveraged capital structure common in capital-intensive construction businesses. The company's financial health appears manageable given its cash reserves and ongoing project cash flows, though debt levels warrant monitoring in relation to future interest rate environments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates a commitment to shareholder returns through a dividend per share of CNY 0.14, representing a payout ratio of approximately 45% based on diluted EPS. This balanced approach returns capital to shareholders while retaining earnings for reinvestment in growth opportunities. The company's recent name change and expansion into renewable energy and mining investments suggest strategic positioning for future growth areas within China's infrastructure development priorities.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 14.53 billion, the company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of around 12.4 times based on diluted EPS. The beta of 0.85 indicates the stock has historically been less volatile than the broader market, which may reflect the defensive characteristics of its infrastructure-focused business model. Market expectations appear to balance growth potential against the cyclical nature of construction spending.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its diversified project portfolio, vertical integration capabilities, and strong regional presence in Guangdong province. Its expansion into renewable energy projects aligns with national priorities, potentially providing growth tailwinds. The outlook depends on continued infrastructure investment in China, particularly in water conservancy, public works, and green energy initiatives, though competitive pressures and macroeconomic factors remain key considerations for future performance.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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