investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Communications Technology Co., Ltd. (002061.SZ)

Previous Close$4.15
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$4.15

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Communications Technology operates as a diversified infrastructure and chemical enterprise, generating revenue through two distinct business segments. The company's core operations involve contracted construction, maintenance, and project management services for critical transportation infrastructure including roads, bridges, tunnels, and underground engineering projects across China. This positions the firm as a key player in the nation's ongoing infrastructure development, leveraging its subsidiary relationship with Zhejiang Transportation Investment Group for strategic advantages in securing regional projects. Simultaneously, the company maintains a significant chemical manufacturing division that produces and markets specialized products such as polycarbonate and maleic anhydride, serving industrial customers in the basic materials sector. This dual-business model provides revenue diversification while creating potential synergies between construction material needs and chemical production capabilities. The company's market position is strengthened by its long-established presence since 1998 and its strategic backing from a major provincial transportation investment entity, giving it competitive advantages in public works bidding and regional market penetration.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported robust revenue of approximately CNY 47.8 billion for the period, demonstrating significant scale in its operations. Net income reached CNY 1.31 billion, translating to a net profit margin of approximately 2.7%, which is characteristic of capital-intensive infrastructure businesses. Operating cash flow generation was positive at CNY 1.10 billion, though this was substantially lower than reported net income, suggesting potential working capital intensity or timing differences in project collections relative to revenue recognition.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.50, reflecting the company's earnings capacity across its substantial share base. The business demonstrated capital discipline with capital expenditures of CNY 426 million, which were more than covered by operating cash flows. The relationship between operating cash flow and capital expenditures indicates the company's ability to self-fund its investment needs while maintaining operational scale across both infrastructure and chemical segments.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 11.66 billion, providing substantial financial flexibility. Total debt of CNY 12.77 billion results in a net debt position of approximately CNY 1.11 billion, indicating moderate leverage relative to the company's scale. The substantial cash reserves likely support bidding requirements for large infrastructure projects and provide buffer against the cyclical nature of construction and chemical industries.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates a commitment to shareholder returns through its dividend policy, distributing CNY 0.125 per share. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 25% based on diluted EPS, balancing retention for growth capital with direct returns to investors. The company's evolution from its former identity as Zhejiang Jiangshan Chemical in 2017 reflects strategic repositioning toward infrastructure development while maintaining chemical operations.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 11.11 billion, the company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of around 8.5 times based on current earnings. The beta of 0.414 suggests lower volatility relative to the broader market, potentially reflecting the defensive characteristics of infrastructure spending and the company's established position. This valuation multiple may incorporate market expectations for steady, though not explosive, growth given the nature of its core businesses.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages stem from its subsidiary relationship with Zhejiang Transportation Investment Group, providing access to regional infrastructure projects and stable backing. Its dual-business model offers diversification benefits across economic cycles, though both segments remain subject to government spending policies and industrial demand fluctuations. The outlook is supported by China's continued infrastructure investment, though dependent on regional economic conditions and public funding allocations for transportation projects.

Sources

Company filingsMarket data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount