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Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Yinlun Machinery Co.,Ltd. (002126.SZ)

Previous Close$36.89
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$36.89

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Yinlun Machinery operates as a specialized manufacturer of thermal management solutions primarily for the automotive and industrial sectors. The company's core business revolves around designing and producing sophisticated heat exchange products, including oil coolers, cooling modules, and exhaust gas recirculation systems. These components are essential for maintaining optimal operating temperatures in various applications, from passenger vehicles to heavy machinery and power generation equipment. Yinlun Machinery has established a comprehensive product portfolio that serves diverse markets including commercial vehicles, engineering machinery, agricultural equipment, and industrial compressors, positioning itself as an integrated thermal solutions provider rather than just a component supplier. The company's market position is strengthened by its technical expertise in aluminum and stainless steel heat exchanger manufacturing, with particular specialization in addressing the complex cooling requirements of modern engine systems and emission control technologies. This focus on thermal management systems allows Yinlun to maintain relevance across both traditional internal combustion engine markets and emerging applications in new energy vehicles and industrial equipment, providing a balanced exposure to multiple industrial segments while leveraging its core manufacturing competencies.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 12.7 billion in revenue with net income of CNY 783.5 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 6.2%. Operating cash flow stood at CNY 1.21 billion, demonstrating reasonable cash conversion from operations. Capital expenditures of CNY 823.9 million indicate ongoing investment in production capacity and technological upgrades, supporting the company's growth initiatives and operational efficiency improvements in its manufacturing processes.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Yinlun Machinery delivered diluted EPS of CNY 0.92, reflecting its earnings capacity relative to its equity base. The company maintains a balanced approach to capital allocation, with operating cash flow sufficiently covering capital investment requirements. The relationship between operating cash flow and capital expenditures suggests a focus on maintaining production capabilities while generating positive cash returns from existing operations.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a solid financial position with CNY 2.19 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of CNY 2.88 billion. This conservative leverage profile provides financial flexibility while supporting ongoing operations. The balance sheet structure appears appropriate for the capital-intensive nature of automotive components manufacturing, with sufficient liquidity to meet operational requirements and strategic investments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Yinlun Machinery demonstrates a commitment to shareholder returns through its dividend distribution of CNY 0.12 per share. The company's growth trajectory appears aligned with automotive industry cycles, with its diverse application base across multiple machinery segments providing some insulation against sector-specific downturns. The capital expenditure level suggests ongoing investment to maintain competitive positioning and potentially capture growth opportunities in thermal management markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 30.5 billion, the company trades at a P/E multiple reflective of its automotive components sector positioning. The beta of 0.653 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market, suggesting investors perceive the business as relatively stable. Valuation metrics appear to incorporate expectations for steady performance within the cyclical automotive supply chain environment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Yinlun Machinery's strategic position is strengthened by its specialized expertise in thermal management systems, which remain critical components across multiple industrial applications. The company's diverse customer base across automotive, machinery, and industrial sectors provides some resilience against market cyclicality. Future prospects will likely depend on technological evolution in vehicle powertrains and the company's ability to adapt its thermal solutions to emerging requirements in both traditional and new energy vehicle markets.

Sources

Company financial reportsShenzhen Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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