investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Jiuli Hi-Tech Metals Co., Ltd. (002318.SZ)

Previous Close$33.63
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$33.63

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Jiuli Hi-Tech Metals operates as a specialized manufacturer of high-performance stainless steel pipes and tubes, serving demanding industrial sectors globally. The company's core revenue model centers on producing and selling sophisticated metal products including austenitic and duplex stainless steels, corrosion-resistant alloys, titanium alloys, and specialized pipe fittings. Its diverse product portfolio targets critical infrastructure applications where material performance under extreme conditions is paramount, creating a defensible market niche with significant technical barriers to entry. Operating within the basic materials sector, Jiuli has established itself as a key supplier to China's nuclear power generation, oil and gas refining, chemical processing, and offshore engineering industries. The company leverages its technical expertise to serve additional high-value markets including aerospace, seawater desalination, and specialized instrumentation, demonstrating adaptability across industrial cycles. With over three decades of operational experience since its 1987 founding, Jiuli has cultivated deep customer relationships and technical credibility that support its premium positioning in the specialized metals supply chain. The company's strategic focus on research-intensive product development enables it to command pricing power in niche segments less susceptible to commodity steel price fluctuations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company demonstrated robust financial performance with revenue of approximately CNY 10.9 billion for the period. Profitability metrics were strong, with net income reaching CNY 1.49 billion, translating to a healthy net margin of around 13.6%. Operating cash flow generation was substantial at CNY 831 million, though capital expenditures of CNY 593 million reflected ongoing investments in production capacity and technological capabilities to maintain competitive positioning.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Jiuli exhibited solid earnings power with diluted earnings per share of CNY 1.55, reflecting efficient utilization of its capital base. The company maintained disciplined capital allocation, as evidenced by its substantial operating cash flow relative to net income. The significant capital expenditure program indicates management's focus on maintaining technological leadership and production efficiency, which should support future earnings capacity in specialized industrial segments.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a conservative financial structure with cash and equivalents of CNY 2.72 billion substantially exceeding total debt of CNY 745 million. This strong liquidity position provides operational flexibility and resilience during industry downturns. The minimal leverage ratio underscores management's prudent approach to balance sheet management, positioning the company to capitalize on strategic opportunities without financial constraints.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Jiuli demonstrates commitment to shareholder returns through a dividend per share of CNY 0.97, representing a payout ratio of approximately 63% based on reported EPS. The company's focus on high-value industrial applications supports stable growth prospects, particularly in nuclear power and energy infrastructure where technical requirements create barriers to competition. This strategic positioning enables sustainable dividend distributions while funding necessary capital investments.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 20.7 billion, the company trades at a P/E multiple around 14x based on current earnings. The relatively low beta of 0.358 suggests the market perceives Jiuli as less volatile than the broader market, potentially reflecting its niche positioning and stable customer base in essential industrial sectors. This valuation implies moderate growth expectations balanced against the company's established market position.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Jiuli's primary strategic advantage lies in its technical specialization and long-standing relationships in critical industrial supply chains. The company's focus on high-performance materials for nuclear, energy, and chemical sectors provides insulation from commodity pricing pressures. Future prospects appear favorable given China's continued investment in energy infrastructure and industrial modernization, though dependent on maintaining technological leadership and operational efficiency in a competitive global market.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount