investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueShanghai Zhezhong Group Co.,Ltd (002346.SZ)

Previous Close$19.99
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$19.99

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Shanghai Zhezhong Group Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer within China's electrical equipment sector, focusing primarily on the production and distribution of switchgear sets and associated spare parts. The company serves critical infrastructure needs across various industrial and construction applications, positioning itself as a domestic supplier in a competitive market. Its core revenue model derives from manufacturing operations and direct sales to clients requiring reliable electrical distribution and control systems. Operating in the industrials sector, Shanghai Zhezhong leverages its manufacturing capabilities to cater to domestic demand for electrical components essential for power distribution networks. The company's market position reflects its niche focus on switchgears, competing with both larger diversified electrical equipment firms and smaller specialized manufacturers. While maintaining its Shanghai base, the company's operations are concentrated within China, facing typical industry challenges such as raw material cost fluctuations and competition from both domestic and international players. The 2015 rebranding from Shanghai Zhezhong Construction suggests a strategic shift towards a broader industrial holding structure, potentially indicating ambitions beyond its original construction-focused scope.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of approximately CNY 970 million for the period, with net income reaching CNY 73.1 million, indicating a net profit margin of roughly 7.5%. Operating cash flow generation was robust at CNY 204 million, significantly exceeding net income and capital expenditures of CNY 17.9 million. This suggests efficient working capital management and strong cash conversion from operations, supporting the company's operational sustainability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Shanghai Zhezhong demonstrated solid earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 0.17. The substantial operating cash flow of CNY 204 million relative to net income indicates high-quality earnings. Capital expenditure requirements appear modest compared to operating cash generation, suggesting capital-efficient operations. The company's ability to generate cash significantly in excess of investment needs points to sustainable internal funding capacity for future growth or shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a conservative financial structure with cash and equivalents of CNY 72.1 million against total debt of CNY 30.0 million, resulting in a net cash position. This low leverage profile provides financial flexibility and resilience. The strong operating cash flow further supports the company's ability to meet obligations and invest opportunistically without relying heavily on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, distributing CNY 0.50 per share which represents a substantial payout relative to earnings. This aggressive distribution strategy may indicate management's confidence in stable cash generation or a mature business phase with limited reinvestment opportunities. The dividend yield and payout ratio would be key metrics for income-focused investors evaluating the sustainability of current distributions.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 7.08 billion, the company trades at a significant premium to its revenue base, suggesting market expectations for future growth or premium valuation for its niche market position. The beta of 0.61 indicates lower volatility than the broader market, potentially reflecting the company's stable electrical equipment business model and defensive characteristics within the industrial sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Shanghai Zhezhong's primary advantages include its specialized focus on switchgear manufacturing, conservative balance sheet, and strong cash flow generation. The outlook depends on domestic infrastructure investment trends and competitive dynamics in China's electrical equipment market. The company's ability to maintain profitability while distributing substantial dividends will be crucial for sustaining investor confidence amid evolving market conditions and potential industry consolidation.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount