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Intrinsic ValueCanny Elevator Co., Ltd. (002367.SZ)

Previous Close$8.07
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$8.07

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Canny Elevator Co., Ltd. operates as a comprehensive vertical transportation solutions provider within China's industrial machinery sector. The company generates revenue through a vertically integrated model encompassing the research, development, manufacturing, and direct sale of a diverse portfolio of elevator and escalator products. Its core offerings include high-speed, machine room-less, panorama, hospital, and freight elevators, alongside heavy-duty escalators and moving walks, marketed globally under the established CANNY brand. This integrated approach extends beyond manufacturing to include critical after-sales services such as installation and maintenance, creating recurring revenue streams and fostering long-term customer relationships. Canny serves a broad client base across residential, commercial, public infrastructure, hotel, and city complex projects, positioning itself as a domestic leader with a significant international footprint through exports to approximately 100 countries. The company's market position is characterized by its strong brand recognition within China and its growing presence in international markets, competing in a capital-intensive industry where technological innovation, service network quality, and cost efficiency are key determinants of success. Its headquarters in Suzhou, a major industrial hub, provides strategic advantages in supply chain logistics and access to skilled engineering talent.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, Canny Elevator reported revenue of CNY 4.08 billion, translating to a net income of CNY 357 million. This indicates a net profit margin of approximately 8.7%, reflecting the company's ability to convert sales into earnings effectively. The business demonstrated solid cash generation, with operating cash flow reaching CNY 515 million, significantly exceeding its net income and underscoring efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures were modest at CNY 19.6 million, suggesting a mature operational footprint with disciplined investment in maintaining and upgrading production capacity.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is evidenced by a diluted earnings per share of CNY 0.45. The substantial operating cash flow of CNY 515 million, which is 1.44 times net income, highlights strong underlying profitability and high-quality earnings. The minimal capital expenditure relative to operating cash flow points to high capital efficiency, allowing the company to generate significant free cash flow that can be allocated towards strategic initiatives, debt reduction, or shareholder returns without heavy reinvestment needs.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Canny Elevator maintains a robust balance sheet characterized by a strong liquidity position. Cash and cash equivalents stood at CNY 1.74 billion, providing ample financial flexibility. Total debt is negligible at just CNY 1.8 million, resulting in a net cash position that signifies exceptional financial health and a very low risk profile. This conservative capital structure provides a significant buffer against economic downturns and ample capacity for strategic investments or acquisitions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, with a dividend per share of CNY 0.3. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 67% based on diluted EPS, indicating a shareholder-friendly policy. The company's growth trajectory is supported by its diversified product range and extensive international reach, though specific year-over-year growth rates are not provided in the current dataset to assess recent momentum.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 5.45 billion, the market valuation implies certain growth and profitability expectations. The stock's beta of 0.55 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, which may reflect investor perception of the company's stable business model and strong financial position. The valuation will be influenced by expectations regarding the Chinese real estate and infrastructure development cycles, which drive demand for elevator products.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Canny's strategic advantages lie in its vertically integrated business model, established CANNY brand, and extensive global distribution network. The outlook is tied to urbanization trends in China and infrastructure development in its export markets. Its net cash balance sheet provides strategic optionality to navigate market cycles, invest in innovation, or pursue market share gains. The key challenge will be navigating the competitive landscape and macroeconomic conditions affecting construction activity globally.

Sources

Company Annual ReportBloomberg

show cash flow forecast

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