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Intrinsic ValueTianjin Lisheng Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (002393.SZ)

Previous Close$22.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$22.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tianjin Lisheng Pharmaceutical operates as a specialized manufacturer of chemical medicines, functioning as a subsidiary within the Tianjin Pharmaceutical Holdings conglomerate. The company's core revenue model centers on the production and distribution of a diversified portfolio of pharmaceutical formulations, including tablets, hard capsules, and various injectable forms like freeze-dried powder and water injections. This comprehensive product range allows it to serve multiple therapeutic areas and distribution channels within China's competitive healthcare sector. Its operations extend beyond finished dosages to include bulk medicines and intermediates, providing vertical integration benefits and supplying diagnostic and biochemical reagents, which diversifies its revenue streams. Positioned within the expansive Chinese pharmaceutical market, Lisheng leverages its established manufacturing capabilities and export activities to maintain a stable market presence. The company's affiliation with its state-backed parent entity offers strategic advantages in regulatory navigation and potential access to public procurement channels, solidifying its position as a reliable, mid-tier supplier in the generic and specialty drug manufacturing landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported revenue of CNY 1.34 billion, achieving a net income of CNY 184.5 million. This translates to a net profit margin of approximately 13.8%, indicating reasonable profitability within its competitive industry. Operating cash flow was positive at CNY 88.3 million, though it was substantially lower than net income, suggesting potential working capital movements or non-cash charges affecting the conversion of earnings into cash.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrated solid earnings power with diluted earnings per share of CNY 0.72. Capital expenditure of approximately CNY 53.8 million was significantly lower than operating cash flow, resulting in positive free cash flow. This indicates the company is generating sufficient cash from operations to fund its investments and potentially return capital to shareholders, reflecting a mature and stable operational phase.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Lisheng maintains a robust balance sheet characterized by a substantial cash position of CNY 1.64 billion. Total debt is minimal at approximately CNY 48.2 million, resulting in a very strong net cash position. This conservative financial structure provides significant liquidity and financial flexibility, with low leverage indicating a low-risk profile and capacity to withstand industry cyclicality or fund strategic initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, evidenced by a dividend per share of CNY 0.35. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 49% based on diluted EPS, indicating a balanced approach between retaining earnings for growth and distributing profits. The specific revenue and earnings growth trends relative to prior periods are not provided in the current dataset for comparative analysis.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 6.15 billion, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of around 33.3x based on the latest diluted EPS. This valuation multiple appears elevated compared to global pharmaceutical peers, potentially reflecting market expectations for growth, its strong balance sheet, or specific factors within the Chinese healthcare market. The beta of 0.87 suggests the stock has historically been slightly less volatile than the broader market.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's primary strategic advantages include its vertical integration, diverse product portfolio, and affiliation with a major state-owned pharmaceutical holding company. Its strong net cash position provides a significant buffer and strategic optionality. The outlook will be influenced by its ability to navigate China's evolving pharmaceutical regulations, manage pricing pressures, and effectively deploy its ample cash reserves for organic growth or strategic acquisitions to enhance its market position.

Sources

Company Filings (SZSE)Financial Data Provider

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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