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Intrinsic ValueShenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. (002399.SZ)

Previous Close$12.37
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.37

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Shenzhen Hepalink Pharmaceutical Group operates as a vertically integrated pharmaceutical company specializing in heparin-based products, with a dominant position in the global heparin supply chain. The company's core business revolves around four distinct segments: Finished Dose Pharmaceutical Products, Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (API), Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization (CDMO) services, and Other diversified activities. As a key global supplier of heparin sodium API and enoxaparin sodium injection, Hepalink maintains strategic importance in the anticoagulant therapeutics market, serving international pharmaceutical manufacturers and healthcare systems. The company leverages its extensive expertise in the complex extraction and purification processes required for heparin products derived from porcine intestinal mucosa, creating significant barriers to entry for potential competitors. Beyond its heparin franchise, the company has strategically expanded into CDMO services, offering research, development, and manufacturing capabilities for recombinant pharmaceutical products and gene therapy intermediates. This diversification strategy positions Hepalink to capitalize on the growing outsourcing trends within the biopharmaceutical industry while mitigating reliance on its traditional heparin business. The company's integrated operations span from raw material sourcing to finished drug manufacturing, providing comprehensive solutions across the pharmaceutical value chain and establishing it as a critical partner in the global healthcare ecosystem.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, Hepalink reported revenue of CNY 5.28 billion with net income of CNY 646.7 million, translating to a net margin of approximately 12.2%. The company demonstrated strong cash generation with operating cash flow of CNY 2.19 billion, significantly exceeding capital expenditures of CNY 202.8 million. This robust cash flow performance indicates efficient working capital management and sustainable operational profitability across its business segments, particularly within its core heparin operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company generated diluted EPS of CNY 0.44, reflecting its earnings capacity relative to its equity base. With capital expenditures representing only about 9% of operating cash flow, Hepalink maintains capital-light expansion capabilities. The substantial operating cash flow relative to net income suggests strong quality of earnings and efficient conversion of accounting profits into actual cash generation, supporting future investment flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Hepalink maintains a solid financial position with cash and equivalents of CNY 1.69 billion against total debt of CNY 2.98 billion. The company's leverage position appears manageable given its strong cash flow generation capacity. The balance sheet supports ongoing operations while providing capacity for strategic investments in CDMO expansion and product development initiatives within the pharmaceutical sector.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a shareholder return policy, distributing a dividend of CNY 0.25 per share. This dividend payout represents approximately 57% of diluted EPS, indicating a balanced approach between returning capital to shareholders and retaining earnings for growth initiatives. The company's diversified business model supports stable cash flows necessary to maintain this distribution while funding expansion in higher-growth segments like CDMO services.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 17.1 billion, the market values Hepalink at roughly 3.2 times revenue and 26.4 times net income. The beta of 1.29 suggests higher volatility than the broader market, reflecting sensitivity to pharmaceutical industry dynamics and global heparin market conditions. This valuation incorporates expectations for continued leadership in the heparin API market and successful execution of diversification strategies.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Hepalink's strategic advantages include its vertically integrated heparin supply chain, technical expertise in complex API manufacturing, and growing CDMO capabilities. The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing global demand for anticoagulant therapies and pharmaceutical outsourcing trends. Future performance will depend on maintaining regulatory compliance across international markets, managing raw material cost volatility, and successfully scaling newer business segments to complement its established heparin franchise.

Sources

Company Financial StatementsShenzhen Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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