investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueYanAn Bicon Pharmaceutical Listed Company (002411.SZ)

Previous Close$0.62
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.62

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

YanAn Bicon Pharmaceutical operates as a diversified chemical enterprise with a dual focus on pharmaceutical intermediates and high-performance materials. The company's core revenue streams derive from developing, producing, and selling pharmaceutical intermediates like triclopyridine sodium and 5,5-dimethylhydantoin, alongside specialty chemicals for new energy applications, notably lithium hexafluorophosphate for lithium-ion battery electrolytes. This positions the firm within China's competitive basic materials sector, serving multiple industrial verticals including healthcare, energy storage, and advanced materials manufacturing. Its market presence is reinforced by established brands such as Bikangweizheng and DoctorBaby for medical products, while its material solutions cater to demanding applications ranging from cut-resistant textiles and construction reinforcement to aerospace composites and military equipment. The company's strategic pivot in 2018, including a name change and relocation to Xi'an, reflects an ongoing evolution from a pure-play pharmaceutical intermediary towards a broader specialty chemicals provider, leveraging its chemical synthesis capabilities across adjacent high-growth markets. This diversification strategy aims to mitigate sector-specific cyclicality but also exposes the company to intense competition and technological demands across each of its targeted industries.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2022, the company reported substantial revenue of CNY 8.11 billion, demonstrating significant top-line scale. However, this was overshadowed by a net loss of CNY 1.05 billion and negative diluted EPS of CNY -0.66, indicating severe profitability challenges. A positive note was the generation of robust operating cash flow of CNY 2.93 billion, which suggests that the core operating activities remain cash-generative despite the reported accounting loss, potentially pointing to non-cash charges impacting the bottom line.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The significant divergence between the substantial net loss and the strong positive operating cash flow merits careful analysis. While the company demonstrates an ability to convert sales into cash, the reported earnings power is deeply negative. Capital expenditure was substantial at CNY -1.45 billion, indicating ongoing significant investment in the business, which, combined with the net loss, raises questions about the current return on invested capital and the efficiency of these capital allocations.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company's financial position shows a cash balance of CNY 877 million against total debt of CNY 1.78 billion, indicating a net debt position. This leverage, coupled with the reported net loss for the period, suggests potential strain on the balance sheet. The overall financial health appears challenged, requiring close monitoring of liquidity and the company's ability to service its debt obligations amid profitability pressures.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite the loss-making year, the company maintained a dividend payment of CNY 0.416 per share. This distribution during a period of negative earnings is an unusual capital allocation decision that may be aimed at supporting shareholder returns, but it also consumes cash reserves. The trend reflects a conflict between the company's current operational performance and its stated dividend policy, highlighting a key area for investor scrutiny.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 950 million, the company trades at a significant discount to its annual revenue, which is typical for firms experiencing substantial losses. The very low beta of 0.20 suggests the stock has exhibited low correlation with the broader market, potentially reflecting its unique risk profile or limited liquidity. The valuation appears to incorporate market skepticism about a near-term return to profitability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its diversified chemical expertise spanning pharmaceuticals and new materials. The outlook is contingent on successfully navigating the profitability challenges evident in FY 2022. Key factors will be managing its debt load, improving operational efficiency, and demonstrating that its investments in new energy materials can translate into sustainable earnings, thereby validating its strategic pivot and restoring investor confidence in its business model.

Sources

Company Annual Report (FY 2022)Shenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount