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Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre Co., Ltd. (002427.SZ)

Previous Close$7.29
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$7.29

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Unifull Industrial Fibre operates as a specialized manufacturer within China's industrial textiles sector, focusing primarily on the development, production, and sale of polyester industrial fibers. The company's core revenue model is derived from manufacturing and selling industrial polyester yarns, dipped tire cord fabrics, dipped conveyor belt fabrics, and dipped cords, which serve as critical reinforcement materials for the tire, rubber, and automotive industries. Its product portfolio also includes PVC ceiling films and has expanded into commodities and lithium batteries for new energy vehicles, indicating a strategic diversification beyond traditional industrial fibers. Operating in the highly competitive apparel manufacturing industry, Unifull positions itself as an integrated producer with capabilities spanning from R&D to end-product sales, catering to both domestic Chinese and international markets. The company's market position is built on its technical expertise in polyester industrial fibers, which are essential components for various industrial applications requiring strength, durability, and reliability. This specialization allows Unifull to serve demanding industrial clients while navigating the cyclical nature of the consumer cyclical sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of approximately CNY 2.29 billion for the period, demonstrating significant scale in its industrial fiber operations. However, profitability was challenged with a net loss of CNY 26.9 million, resulting in negative diluted EPS of CNY -0.03. Operating cash flow remained positive at CNY 105.1 million, indicating the core business maintains some cash generation capability despite the net loss position. Capital expenditures of CNY 102.1 million suggest ongoing investment in production capacity and operational efficiency improvements.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power appears constrained as evidenced by the negative net income figure. The positive operating cash flow of CNY 105.1 million, which exceeds capital expenditures, suggests the business generates sufficient cash to fund its investment needs. The capital expenditure level relative to operating cash flow indicates a balanced approach to maintaining production assets without excessive investment, though the negative earnings raise questions about overall capital allocation efficiency and return on invested capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a cash position of CNY 351.9 million against total debt of CNY 767.9 million, indicating a moderate liquidity cushion. The debt level represents a significant liability structure that requires careful management given the current profitability challenges. The balance sheet structure suggests the company has access to financing but must navigate the tension between maintaining operational flexibility and servicing its debt obligations during periods of earnings pressure.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

With no dividend distribution during the period, the company appears to be conserving capital, likely to support operations and strategic initiatives amid challenging market conditions. The revenue base suggests established market presence, but the negative earnings trend indicates headwinds in translating top-line performance to bottom-line results. The company's expansion into lithium batteries for new energy vehicles represents a strategic growth initiative beyond its traditional industrial fiber business.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 7.10 billion, the market appears to be valuing the company beyond its current earnings capacity, potentially reflecting expectations for recovery or growth in its newer business segments. The low beta of 0.196 suggests the stock exhibits lower volatility relative to the broader market, which may indicate investor perception of defensive characteristics or limited correlation with market cycles.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its specialized expertise in industrial polyester fibers and established manufacturing capabilities. The diversification into lithium batteries for new energy vehicles represents a forward-looking initiative that could provide growth opportunities. However, the outlook is tempered by current profitability challenges in the core business. Success will depend on effectively managing the traditional fiber operations while successfully executing the diversification strategy in the competitive new energy vehicle supply chain.

Sources

Company financial statementsShenzhen Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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