investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co., Ltd. (002472.SZ)

Previous Close$41.53
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$41.53

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline operates as a specialized manufacturer and developer of precision gears and critical driveline components, serving diverse industrial sectors with a primary focus on automotive applications. The company has strategically positioned itself within the evolving automotive supply chain, particularly capitalizing on the rapid transition to new energy vehicles where specialized gearing requirements differ significantly from traditional internal combustion engines. Its comprehensive product portfolio extends beyond passenger vehicles to include solutions for rail transit systems, off-road machinery, and industrial robotics, demonstrating technical versatility across multiple high-precision engineering domains. This diversification mitigates cyclical exposure to any single end-market while leveraging core competencies in metallurgy and precision manufacturing. As an established Chinese supplier founded in 1980, Shuanghuan benefits from long-standing relationships with domestic automakers while expanding internationally, positioning it as a technologically capable participant in the global automotive components ecosystem with particular relevance to electrification trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported robust financial performance with revenue of CNY 8.78 billion and net income of CNY 1.02 billion, translating to a healthy net margin of approximately 11.7%. Strong operating cash flow of CNY 1.68 billion indicates effective conversion of earnings into cash, though significant capital expenditures of CNY 1.99 billion reflect ongoing investments in production capacity and technological upgrades to support future growth initiatives, particularly in high-value segments.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Shuanghuan demonstrates solid earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 1.22, supported by efficient operations across its diversified product lines. The company maintains a disciplined approach to capital allocation, balancing reinvestment in manufacturing capabilities with returns to shareholders, as evidenced by its sustainable profitability metrics and cash generation relative to its asset base in the capital-intensive automotive components sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a conservative financial structure with cash and equivalents of CNY 1.41 billion against total debt of CNY 2.54 billion, indicating manageable leverage. This prudent capital structure provides flexibility to navigate industry cycles while supporting strategic investments in technology and capacity expansion, particularly important given the capital expenditure requirements of precision manufacturing operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Shuanghuan maintains a shareholder-friendly policy, distributing a dividend of CNY 0.226 per share while retaining sufficient capital for growth initiatives. The company's positioning in new energy vehicle components and industrial automation segments provides exposure to structural growth trends, supported by its established manufacturing expertise and research capabilities developed since its founding in 1980.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 34.7 billion, the company trades at a P/E multiple reflective of its position in the automotive supply chain. The beta of 0.586 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially indicating investor perception of stable demand for its essential components despite automotive industry cyclicality.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Shuanghuan's long-standing industry presence, technical expertise in precision gearing, and strategic focus on high-growth segments like NEVs provide competitive advantages. The outlook remains tied to automotive production trends and technological shifts, with the company well-positioned to benefit from increasing content per vehicle in electrified powertrains and continued industrial automation adoption.

Sources

Company financial reportsShenzhen Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount