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Intrinsic ValueBeijing Honggao Creative Architectural Design Co., Ltd (002504.SZ)

Previous Close$0.38
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.38

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Beijing Honggao Creative Architectural Design Co., Ltd operates primarily as an interior design service provider in China, despite its official sector classification in Technology. The company generates revenue through fine decoration construction, electromechanical installation, curtain wall construction, and general contracting services, primarily targeting the commercial real estate sector including hotels, office spaces, and commercial complexes. Its business model integrates design with construction execution, serving a niche market within China's broader architectural and building services industry. Beyond its core operations, the company engages in strategic equity investments and provides mergers and acquisitions advisory services, focusing on technology-adjacent areas such as BIM, VR, and construction technology. This diversification represents an effort to leverage industry expertise into adjacent growth areas. Founded in 1993 and based in Beijing, the company maintains a regional focus while navigating the competitive landscape of Chinese architectural services, where differentiation through creative design and integrated service offerings is critical for market positioning.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 132.9 million for FY 2022, but this was overshadowed by a substantial net loss of CNY -494.9 million, resulting in diluted EPS of -CNY 0.48. Despite the significant loss, the company generated positive operating cash flow of CNY 24.3 million, indicating some operational cash generation capability. The absence of reported capital expenditures suggests minimal investment in fixed assets during the period, which may reflect a strategic pause or constrained investment capacity given the challenging profitability metrics.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power appears severely constrained, as evidenced by the deep net loss that substantially exceeded annual revenue. The positive operating cash flow provides a modest counterpoint, suggesting that cash collection from operations remained functional. However, the magnitude of the net loss relative to revenue indicates significant operational challenges or potentially substantial non-cash charges that impacted the income statement, raising questions about sustainable capital efficiency and core business viability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintained a relatively strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 27.0 million against minimal total debt of CNY 0.8 million, resulting in a robust cash-to-debt ratio. This conservative debt level provides financial flexibility, though the substantial net loss incurred during the period may pressure future liquidity if not addressed. The balance sheet structure appears liquid but must be evaluated in context of the significant operational losses experienced.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite reporting a dividend per share of CNY 0.20, the payment occurred alongside a substantial net loss, creating an unusual financial scenario that may not be sustainable. The combination of dividend distributions with significant losses suggests either reliance on retained earnings or potentially strategic considerations beyond current profitability. Growth trends appear challenged given the revenue scale relative to losses, though the company's venture into equity investments and M&A services represents a strategic growth initiative beyond traditional design services.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 389.8 million, the company trades at a significant premium to its annual revenue, reflecting market expectations for recovery or future growth potential despite current profitability challenges. The low beta of 0.33 suggests the stock exhibits lower volatility than the broader market, potentially indicating investor perception of limited downside risk or specialized factors influencing its price movements independent of market cycles.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's long-established presence since 1993 provides industry experience, while its integrated service model combining design with construction execution offers potential differentiation. Strategic diversification into technology-adjacent investments through M&A services could position it for emerging opportunities in construction technology. However, the outlook remains clouded by the substantial FY 2022 losses, requiring demonstrated operational turnaround and successful execution of strategic initiatives to restore investor confidence and sustainable profitability in a competitive market environment.

Sources

Company FilingsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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