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Intrinsic ValueSuZhou THVOW Technology. Co., Ltd. (002564.SZ)

Previous Close$7.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$7.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

SuZhou THVOW Technology operates as a specialized engineering and equipment provider within China's industrial machinery sector, focusing on comprehensive energy and power solutions. The company generates revenue through engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) general contracting services, supplemented by the manufacturing and sale of critical process equipment. Its product portfolio includes sophisticated pressure vessels, heat exchangers, reactors, and storage tanks essential for refining, chemical processing, coal chemical, nuclear power, and electric power generation facilities. This positions THVOW as an integrated solutions provider across multiple heavy industrial value chains. The firm's market position is anchored in serving the expansive Chinese energy infrastructure market, with additional international operations. It competes by offering a full suite of services from equipment manufacturing to project consulting and execution, catering to both domestic and international clients in capital-intensive industries. The company's historical name change reflects a strategic evolution towards a broader technological focus within the energy engineering landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported revenue of CNY 2.46 billion. However, profitability was constrained, with net income of CNY 24.0 million, resulting in a thin net margin. The diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.03. Operating cash flow generation was robust at CNY 229.3 million, significantly exceeding capital expenditures, which indicates healthy core operational efficiency despite margin pressures in its competitive contracting and manufacturing markets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power appears modest relative to its asset base, as reflected in the low EPS. Capital expenditure was minimal at CNY 11.3 million, suggesting a mature operational phase with limited investment in new productive capacity. The substantial positive operating cash flow provides a solid foundation for funding operations and servicing obligations, but the conversion of revenue into bottom-line profitability remains a key area for potential improvement to enhance overall capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

THVOW maintains a strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 967.4 million. This is offset by significant total debt of CNY 3.37 billion, indicating a leveraged capital structure common in project-based industries requiring upfront financing. The balance sheet reflects the capital-intensive nature of its EPC and equipment manufacturing operations, with financial health dependent on the successful execution and timely payment for its large-scale contracts.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company's current dividend policy is conservative, with a dividend per share of zero for the period, indicating a preference for retaining earnings to fund operations or reduce leverage. Growth trends must be assessed in the context of the cyclical energy and industrial infrastructure sectors in China, where project timelines and revenue recognition can cause significant period-to-period fluctuations rather than steady organic growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 7.40 billion, the market valuation implies certain growth or margin improvement expectations not yet fully realized in the current financial results. The beta of 0.96 suggests the stock's volatility is closely aligned with the broader market, indicating that investors perceive its risk profile as similar to the overall industrial sector, without significant company-specific premium or discount embedded in its price volatility.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its integrated EPC and equipment manufacturing capabilities, serving critical energy transition and industrial modernization themes in China. The outlook is tied to domestic infrastructure investment cycles, policy support for energy projects, and its ability to secure large contracts while managing project execution risks and competitive pressures. Success will depend on operational excellence and navigating the complex dynamics of the Chinese industrial landscape.

Sources

Company FilingsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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