investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueShenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. (002609.SZ)

Previous Close$10.24
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$10.24

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Shenzhen Jieshun Science and Technology Industry Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized technology provider focused on smart access control solutions under its JSST brand. The company develops and supplies integrated hardware and software products primarily for intelligent vehicle dealership management systems and pedestrian entrance security applications. Operating within China's competitive technology hardware sector, Jieshun serves a global client base with solutions that bridge physical security with digital management platforms. The firm's market position is built on its long-standing industry presence since 1992, leveraging its Shenzhen base to access manufacturing and technological ecosystems. Jieshun's core revenue model combines product sales of specialized access control hardware with associated software licensing and maintenance services, creating recurring revenue streams alongside equipment transactions. This dual approach allows the company to maintain client relationships while capitalizing on China's growing smart city and commercial security infrastructure development.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY2024, Jieshun reported revenue of approximately CNY 1.58 billion with net income of CNY 31.4 million, reflecting a narrow net margin of about 2.0%. The company generated CNY 217.6 million in operating cash flow, significantly exceeding its net income, indicating reasonable cash conversion efficiency. Capital expenditures of CNY 67.5 million suggest ongoing investment in operational infrastructure, though the company maintains positive free cash flow generation from its core operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of CNY 0.0487 demonstrates modest earnings power relative to its market capitalization. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures appears adequate at approximately 3.2 times, indicating the business can self-fund its investment needs. The disparity between net income and stronger operating cash flow suggests non-cash charges affecting profitability metrics, though the core business maintains cash-generative characteristics.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Jieshun maintains a solid liquidity position with CNY 684.4 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of CNY 252.6 million, resulting in a conservative net cash position. This strong balance sheet structure provides financial flexibility and mitigates risk in the capital-intensive hardware sector. The company's debt levels appear manageable relative to both its cash reserves and operating cash flow generation capacity.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has implemented a shareholder return policy, distributing a dividend of CNY 0.07 per share for the fiscal year. This dividend payout exceeds the reported EPS, indicating a potentially unsustainable payout ratio that may draw from retained earnings. Growth trends appear muted given the modest net income figure, suggesting the company may be prioritizing stability and shareholder returns over aggressive expansion in the current period.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 6.39 billion, the company trades at significant multiples relative to current earnings, reflecting market expectations for future growth or potential asset value. The beta of 0.479 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market, suggesting investors perceive the stock as relatively defensive within the technology hardware sector. Valuation metrics appear stretched based on current profitability, implying embedded growth assumptions.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Jieshun's primary strategic advantages include its established brand presence, long-term industry expertise, and integrated hardware-software offerings. The company's focus on niche access control markets provides some insulation from broader competitive pressures. The outlook remains cautious given the thin profit margins and high valuation multiples, though the strong balance sheet provides stability. Success will depend on the company's ability to leverage its technological base to improve profitability and capitalize on smart infrastructure development trends.

Sources

Company filingsMarket data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount