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Intrinsic ValueShenzhen Danbond Technology Co.,Ltd. (002618.SZ)

Previous Close$1.26
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.26

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Shenzhen Danbond Technology operates as a specialized manufacturer in China's electronics components sector, focusing on the research, development, and production of flexible printed circuits (FPCs) and related materials. The company's core revenue model centers on selling advanced substrates like FCCL and COF to manufacturers of consumer electronics, including LCD monitors, televisions, mobile phones, and automotive displays. This positions it within the critical supply chain for display drivers and miniaturized electronic assemblies. Danbond's product portfolio, which includes single and double-sided substrates and encapsulation adhesives, serves the demand for thinner, lighter, and more reliable interconnects in modern devices. As a subsidiary of Shenzhen Danbang Investment Group, the company operates in a highly competitive and capital-intensive segment of the technology hardware industry, where scale and technological innovation are key determinants of market position. Its focus on specialized materials for flexible circuits represents a niche but essential role in the broader electronics manufacturing ecosystem.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year 2021, the company reported revenue of approximately CNY 116.2 million. However, it experienced significant financial strain, with a substantial net loss of CNY -221.1 million, resulting in a diluted earnings per share of -CNY 0.40. Operational efficiency was also challenged, as evidenced by negative operating cash flow of CNY -17.9 million, indicating that core business activities were not generating sufficient cash during this period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power was severely impacted in FY2021, with the deep net loss reflecting potential issues with pricing, cost control, or asset utilization. Capital expenditures were minimal at approximately CNY -0.4 million, suggesting a period of limited investment in new productive capacity. The negative cash flow from operations further underscores difficulties in converting revenue into usable cash, pointing to potential inefficiencies in working capital management or operational performance.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Danbond's financial health appeared stressed at the end of 2021. The company held a modest cash balance of CNY 6.1 million against a significant total debt burden of CNY 344.2 million. This high level of indebtedness relative to its cash position and operational performance indicates considerable leverage and potential liquidity challenges, requiring careful assessment of its ability to service obligations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite the challenging financial results for the year, the company maintained a dividend distribution of CNY 0.08 per share. This payout, occurring alongside a substantial net loss, may reflect a policy commitment or utilize retained earnings from prior periods. The overall growth trajectory for the year was negative, marked by the reported loss, suggesting a period of operational difficulty or strategic repositioning.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The provided market capitalization data is listed as zero, which may indicate a data anomaly or a very small market value. The exceptionally low beta of 0.07 suggests the stock's price movement has historically exhibited very low correlation with the broader market, which could be characteristic of a thinly traded or micro-cap stock facing unique company-specific risks and investor perceptions.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Danbond's strategic position is tied to its specialization in flexible circuit materials, a segment with long-term growth potential driven by electronics miniaturization. However, the FY2021 results highlight significant operational and financial challenges that must be overcome. The outlook depends on its ability to improve cost structures, manage its substantial debt load, and capitalize on demand from the consumer electronics and automotive display sectors to return to profitability and sustainable cash generation.

Sources

Annual Report (10-K equivalent)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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