investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Renzhi Co., Ltd. (002629.SZ)

Previous Close$6.15
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$6.15

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Renzhi Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized service provider within China's oil and gas equipment and services sector, focusing on the upstream segment of the energy industry. The company's core revenue model is built on two primary pillars: the development, production, and sale of oilfield chemicals, and the provision of specialized technical services for oil and gas field operations. These services encompass drilling fluid solutions, anti-corrosion engineering, and the testing and maintenance of specialized equipment, creating a diversified offering that supports the entire lifecycle of oilfield operations. Operating within the competitive Chinese energy services market, Renzhi positions itself as an integrated solutions provider rather than a pure product vendor. This strategic approach allows the company to capture value across multiple touchpoints in the oilfield services value chain, from chemical supply to ongoing technical support. The company's focus on both domestic production and import/export trade of new materials further diversifies its revenue streams and mitigates regional market risks. Renzhi's market position is characterized by its specialization in technical services that require specialized expertise, creating barriers to entry that may protect its niche within the broader energy services ecosystem. The company's founding in 2006 and base in Wenzhou situate it within one of China's important industrial regions, providing access to manufacturing capabilities and energy sector clients.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, Zhejiang Renzhi reported revenue of CNY 319.3 million with net income of CNY 14.4 million, resulting in a net profit margin of approximately 4.5%. The company generated negative operating cash flow of CNY 22.9 million, which was partially offset by capital expenditures of CNY 10.5 million. The diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.033, reflecting modest profitability relative to the company's revenue base. These figures indicate operational challenges in converting revenue to cash during the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power appears constrained, with modest net income relative to its market capitalization of approximately CNY 3.1 billion. The negative operating cash flow suggests challenges in working capital management or timing differences in revenue recognition and cash collection. Capital expenditures were moderate at CNY 10.5 million, indicating a conservative approach to investment in property, plant, and equipment. The relationship between operating cash flow and capital expenditures suggests the company may be funding operations through sources other than core business activities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Zhejiang Renzhi maintains a conservative balance sheet with cash and equivalents of CNY 29.2 million against total debt of CNY 25.2 million, resulting in a net cash position. This liquidity position provides some financial flexibility, though the negative operating cash flow warrants monitoring. The debt level appears manageable relative to the company's cash position, suggesting a low-risk financial structure. The balance sheet strength is supported by the net cash position despite the operational cash flow challenges experienced during the period.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintained a zero dividend policy for the fiscal year, consistent with its focus on preserving capital amid operational challenges. The revenue base of CNY 319.3 million, combined with the market capitalization, suggests investors may be pricing in future growth expectations rather than current performance. The absence of a dividend reflects a strategic decision to reinvest available capital into the business rather than distribute earnings to shareholders, which may indicate a growth-oriented approach despite current profitability constraints.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 3.1 billion, the company trades at significant multiples relative to its current financial metrics, suggesting market expectations for future growth and profitability improvement. The price-to-earnings ratio is elevated given the modest EPS of CNY 0.033, indicating investors are valuing the company based on potential rather than current earnings power. The beta of 0.816 suggests the stock is less volatile than the broader market, which may reflect its niche positioning within the energy services sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Zhejiang Renzhi's strategic advantages lie in its integrated approach to oilfield services, combining chemical production with technical expertise. The company's focus on specialized services creates potential barriers to entry and customer stickiness. However, the negative operating cash flow presents near-term challenges that management must address through improved working capital management or operational efficiencies. The outlook depends on the company's ability to leverage its technical capabilities to improve profitability and cash generation while navigating the cyclical nature of the oil and gas services industry, particularly within the Chinese market context.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount