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Intrinsic ValueLingNan Eco&Culture-Tourism Co.,Ltd. (002717.SZ)

Previous Close$1.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$1.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

LingNan Eco&Culture-Tourism Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized integrated service provider in China's ecological environment and cultural tourism sector. The company's core business model revolves around undertaking comprehensive projects that span planning, design, construction, and operation. Its service portfolio is strategically segmented into three pillars: ecological environment and garden construction, which includes creating ecological parks, road landscapes, and beautiful villages; water-related services covering urban water affairs, water conservancy, and water ecology; and cultural tourism development and operation. This integrated approach allows the company to capture value across the entire project lifecycle, from initial conception to long-term management. Operating within the competitive Engineering & Construction industry, LingNan positions itself at the intersection of environmental sustainability and tourism development, leveraging China's national emphasis on green development and rural revitalization. The company's market position is built on its ability to deliver turnkey solutions that blend ecological restoration with commercial tourism potential, primarily serving government and public sector clients. Its 2018 rebranding from LingNan Landscape reflects a strategic pivot towards a more holistic eco-culture-tourism model, aiming to differentiate itself from traditional construction firms by emphasizing sustainable, value-added operations.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of approximately CNY 862 million for the period, indicating ongoing project activity. However, profitability remains a significant challenge, with a substantial net loss of nearly CNY 984 million. The negative diluted EPS of -0.57 reflects deep operational difficulties. Cash flow generation is also under pressure, as evidenced by negative operating cash flow of approximately CNY 97 million, suggesting challenges in converting project work into collected cash.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power is severely constrained by the significant net loss position. The company's capital efficiency metrics are challenging to assess definitively without complete capital expenditure data, which is reported as zero. The negative operating cash flow relative to the net loss indicates that cash burn may be even more pronounced than the income statement suggests, pointing to potential working capital absorption issues within its project-based business model.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows considerable strain, with total debt of approximately CNY 2.70 billion significantly outweighing cash and equivalents of CNY 203 million. This high leverage ratio creates substantial financial risk, particularly given the company's current loss-making position and negative cash flow. The debt burden likely imposes heavy interest expenses, further pressuring profitability and limiting financial flexibility for new investments or operational turnaround efforts.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company's growth trajectory appears challenged by its current financial performance. With no dividend payments indicated, all available resources are likely being directed toward stabilizing operations and managing debt obligations. The absence of a dividend policy is consistent with companies experiencing significant financial distress, prioritizing survival and operational continuity over shareholder returns in the near term.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 3.09 billion, the market appears to be assigning some value to the company's project portfolio and strategic positioning despite current financial difficulties. The beta of 0.99 suggests stock volatility closely aligned with the broader market. Valuation metrics based on earnings are not meaningful given the substantial losses, leaving investors to focus on potential recovery scenarios or asset-based valuation approaches.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its integrated service model within China's priority sectors of ecological conservation and cultural tourism. However, the outlook is clouded by significant financial challenges that must be addressed to capitalize on these positioning benefits. Success likely depends on restructuring debt, improving project profitability, and securing new contracts under favorable terms. The company's ability to navigate these headwinds while leveraging China's continued focus on environmental initiatives will determine its long-term viability.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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