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Intrinsic ValueKunming Longjin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (002750.SZ)

Previous Close$0.59
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.59

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Kunming Longjin Pharmaceutical operates as a specialized pharmaceutical manufacturer in China, focusing on the development, production, and commercialization of natural botanicals and chemical freeze-dried powder injections. The company's diverse product portfolio spans traditional Chinese medicines, biochemical and chemical pharmaceuticals, with particular emphasis on therapeutic areas including cardio-cerebral vascular, digestive system, and immune system medications. This positioning allows Longjin to address multiple healthcare segments within China's rapidly evolving pharmaceutical market, while its involvement in industrial hemp plantation represents a strategic diversification into adjacent botanical sectors. The company's core revenue model derives from manufacturing and selling both prescription and over-the-counter pharmaceutical products to healthcare providers and distributors across China, leveraging its established production capabilities in freeze-dried formulations. Operating in the highly competitive Chinese generic and specialty pharmaceutical sector, Longjin faces significant pressure from both domestic competitors and evolving regulatory frameworks governing drug pricing and approval processes. The company's market position reflects a mid-tier pharmaceutical manufacturer with specialized technical expertise in freeze-dried formulations, though it operates at a scale substantially smaller than leading national pharmaceutical conglomerates.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of approximately CNY 66.5 million for the period, while experiencing significant financial challenges with a net loss of CNY 41.4 million. Operating cash flow was negative CNY 34.2 million, indicating substantial cash consumption from core operations. Capital expenditures of CNY 10.7 million suggest ongoing investment in production capabilities despite the current unprofitability, reflecting management's commitment to maintaining operational infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Longjin's earnings power appears constrained, with diluted EPS of -CNY 0.10 reflecting the substantial net loss. The negative operating cash flow combined with capital expenditures indicates inefficient capital deployment in the current operational environment. The company's ability to generate positive returns on invested capital remains challenged, requiring strategic reassessment of its cost structure and revenue generation capabilities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 261.7 million, significantly exceeding its modest total debt of CNY 2.95 million. This conservative leverage profile provides financial flexibility, though the substantial cash reserves are being depleted by ongoing operational losses. The balance sheet structure suggests capacity to withstand near-term challenges while seeking operational turnaround.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Current financial performance indicates contraction rather than growth, with the company suspending dividend distributions entirely. The absence of a dividend per share reflects management's prioritization of capital preservation amid operational challenges. Growth initiatives appear focused on maintaining production capabilities rather than expansion, with the industrial hemp plantation business representing a potential future growth vector pending regulatory developments and market conditions.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 236 million, the company trades at a significant premium to its annual revenue, reflecting market expectations for future recovery or potential strategic developments. The low beta of 0.213 suggests relatively low correlation with broader market movements, potentially indicating investor perception of company-specific factors dominating valuation considerations rather than sector-wide trends.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's primary strategic advantages include its specialized expertise in freeze-dried pharmaceutical formulations and established manufacturing infrastructure. However, the outlook remains challenging given current profitability issues and competitive market dynamics. Success will depend on the company's ability to optimize its product portfolio, control costs, and potentially leverage its industrial hemp assets, though regulatory uncertainty in that sector adds complexity to the recovery trajectory.

Sources

Company filingsShenzhen Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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