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Intrinsic ValueChengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (002773.SZ)

Previous Close$29.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$29.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Chengdu Kanghong Pharmaceutical Group operates as a specialized pharmaceutical manufacturer in China, focusing on the research, development, production, and commercialization of biological products, traditional Chinese medicines, and chemical drugs. The company has established a diversified portfolio targeting specific therapeutic areas, primarily ophthalmic treatments, central nervous system disorders, and digestive system medications. This strategic focus allows Kanghong to address significant healthcare needs within China's rapidly growing pharmaceutical market while maintaining specialized expertise across multiple drug categories. The company's integrated approach spans from early-stage R&D through manufacturing and distribution, creating a vertically aligned business model that captures value across the pharmaceutical value chain. Operating since 1996, Kanghong has built substantial manufacturing capabilities and regulatory expertise specific to the Chinese healthcare landscape. The company competes in the specialized and generic drug manufacturing sector, positioning itself as a domestic player with research-driven capabilities rather than a pure generic manufacturer. Its headquarters in Chengdu, a major biomedical hub in Western China, provides strategic access to research institutions and regional healthcare markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company demonstrated solid financial performance with revenue of CNY 4.45 billion and net income of CNY 1.19 billion, translating to a robust net profit margin of approximately 27%. This high profitability reflects the company's focus on specialized pharmaceutical products with favorable pricing power. Operating cash flow generation was strong at CNY 1.41 billion, significantly exceeding capital expenditures of CNY 159 million, indicating efficient cash conversion from operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Kanghong exhibited substantial earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 1.30, supported by healthy operating margins. The company maintains excellent capital efficiency, as evidenced by minimal capital expenditure requirements relative to its cash flow generation. This efficient capital allocation allows for significant internal funding of operations and potential future growth initiatives without substantial external financing needs.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with cash and equivalents of CNY 5.69 billion against minimal total debt of only CNY 3.47 million. This creates a substantial net cash position, providing significant financial flexibility and resilience. The virtually debt-free capital structure positions the company favorably for strategic investments or weathering market downturns without liquidity concerns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

While specific growth rates are not provided, the company demonstrates shareholder returns through a dividend per share of CNY 0.60, representing a payout ratio of approximately 46% based on reported EPS. This balanced approach suggests a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining earnings for reinvestment. The company's strong cash position supports potential future dividend growth or strategic investments in R&D and market expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 36.76 billion, the company trades at a P/E ratio of around 31 based on current earnings. The beta of 1.07 indicates stock volatility slightly above the market average, reflecting typical pharmaceutical sector risk characteristics. Market valuation appears to incorporate expectations for continued profitability and potential growth in China's pharmaceutical sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Kanghong's strategic advantages include its long-established presence in China's pharmaceutical market, diversified product portfolio across multiple therapeutic areas, and strong research capabilities. The company's net cash position provides significant strategic flexibility for R&D investments or potential acquisitions. The outlook remains positive given China's growing healthcare demands, though regulatory environment and competitive pressures represent ongoing considerations for future performance.

Sources

Company description and financial data providedShenzhen Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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