investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueJiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd (002839.SZ)

Previous Close$4.57
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$4.57

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank operates as a regional banking institution focused on serving the Zhangjiagang area in China's Jiangsu province. The bank generates revenue primarily through traditional banking activities including deposit-taking, lending operations, and fee-based services. Its core business model centers on providing comprehensive financial solutions to local individuals, small and micro enterprises, and agricultural clients, leveraging its deep regional presence and understanding of local market dynamics. The institution maintains a diversified service portfolio encompassing personal and corporate banking, wealth management products, international trade finance, and digital payment solutions, positioning itself as a full-service community financial partner. Operating within China's competitive regional banking sector, the bank distinguishes itself through its specialized focus on serving the unique needs of the Zhangjiagang economic zone, which includes strong manufacturing and export-oriented businesses. Its market position is characterized by entrenched local relationships and community trust developed since its founding in 2001, enabling effective credit assessment and customer retention in its primary market. The bank's strategic emphasis on digital transformation through online and mobile banking platforms reflects its adaptation to evolving customer preferences while maintaining its traditional branch-based service model.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The bank reported revenue of CNY 4.57 billion for the period, demonstrating its core banking operations. With net income reaching CNY 1.88 billion, the institution maintained solid profitability metrics, translating to a diluted EPS of CNY 0.87. The negative operating cash flow of CNY 419.8 million, coupled with capital expenditures of CNY 79.4 million, reflects typical banking industry characteristics where cash flow patterns are influenced by lending activities and investment operations rather than traditional operating metrics.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The bank's earnings power is evidenced by its substantial net income generation relative to its regional banking focus. The diluted EPS of CNY 0.87 indicates reasonable capital efficiency given the bank's scale and market positioning. The institution's ability to maintain profitability while operating in a competitive regional banking environment demonstrates effective capital allocation and operational management within its specialized market segment.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The bank maintains a solid liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 13.54 billion, providing adequate coverage for operational requirements. Total debt of CNY 27.66 billion reflects the institution's funding structure typical for commercial banks, where deposits and borrowings form the foundation for lending activities. The balance sheet composition aligns with regulatory requirements for regional banks operating within China's banking system.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The bank demonstrates a shareholder-friendly approach through its dividend distribution of CNY 0.20 per share. This dividend policy, combined with the institution's stable earnings profile, suggests a balanced capital return strategy that considers both shareholder returns and retained earnings for business development. The bank's growth trajectory appears focused on sustainable expansion within its core regional market rather than aggressive geographical diversification.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 10.4 billion, the bank's valuation reflects its regional banking focus and scale. The beta of 0.342 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market, suggesting investor perception of relative stability within the regional banking sector. Market expectations appear to incorporate the bank's established position in its local market and its consistent operational performance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The bank's strategic advantages include deep-rooted local market knowledge, long-standing customer relationships, and comprehensive service capabilities tailored to regional needs. Its outlook is supported by the economic dynamics of the Zhangjiagang region, though it faces challenges from digital disruption and competitive pressures. The institution's adaptation through digital banking initiatives positions it to maintain relevance while leveraging its traditional strengths in community banking.

Sources

Company financial reportingStock exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount