investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueBank of Suzhou Co., Ltd. (002966.SZ)

Previous Close$8.23
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$8.23

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Bank of Suzhou Co., Ltd. operates as a regional commercial bank with a strategic focus on the economically vibrant Suzhou region in China. The institution generates revenue through a comprehensive suite of commercial banking activities, including the acceptance of various deposit products and the extension of credit across corporate, micro-enterprise, and consumer finance segments. Its service portfolio is further diversified through offerings in credit cards, investment banking, transaction banking, deposit wealth management, and digital banking services, creating multiple revenue streams. Operating within the competitive Chinese financial services sector, the bank leverages its deep-rooted presence in Suzhou, a major industrial and export hub, to cultivate strong relationships with local businesses and residents. This regional focus allows it to develop specialized knowledge of the local economy, differentiating it from larger national competitors. Its market position is that of a key financial intermediary supporting regional economic development, capitalizing on its understanding of local market dynamics to serve small and medium-sized enterprises and the retail customer base effectively.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the bank reported revenue of CNY 25.1 billion, translating to a net income of CNY 5.1 billion. This indicates a net profit margin of approximately 20.2%, reflecting its ability to convert top-line revenue into bottom-line earnings effectively. The bank's operations generated substantial operating cash flow of CNY 11.0 billion, significantly exceeding its capital expenditures, which underscores strong operational efficiency and cash-generating capability from its core lending and deposit-taking activities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The bank demonstrated solid earnings power with a diluted earnings per share of CNY 1.14. The significant positive operating cash flow, which is more than double the reported net income, suggests high-quality earnings that are fully backed by cash generation. This robust cash flow provides substantial internal funding for loan growth and strategic initiatives, reducing reliance on external capital and highlighting efficient capital deployment within its regional banking model.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 71.9 billion. Total debt stands at CNY 206.4 billion, which is typical for a banking institution whose primary liabilities are customer deposits. The balance sheet structure is characteristic of a commercial bank, with a focus on managing the spread between the cost of funds and interest earned on assets, while maintaining sufficient liquidity to meet operational requirements.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a shareholder returns policy, evidenced by a dividend per share of CNY 0.40. This payout represents a dividend yield based on the current market capitalization, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining earnings to support future growth. The bank's strategy likely balances reinvestment for regional expansion and digital banking initiatives with consistent dividend distributions.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 36.2 billion, the bank's valuation reflects its status as a regional player. A beta of 0.34 indicates that the stock has historically been less volatile than the broader market, which is typical for regional banks with stable, localized business models. The market appears to price the stock with a focus on its steady regional earnings and dividend yield.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The bank's primary strategic advantage is its entrenched position within the Suzhou economic zone, a key growth region in China. Its outlook is tied to the continued development of this region and its ability to leverage digital banking services to enhance customer penetration and operational efficiency. Future performance will be influenced by regional economic trends, competition from larger state-owned banks, and regulatory developments within the Chinese banking sector.

Sources

Annual ReportShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount