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Intrinsic ValueSuzhou Cheersson Precision Metal Forming Co., Ltd. (002976.SZ)

Previous Close$27.77
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$27.77

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Suzhou Cheersson Precision Metal Forming Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer in the industrial metal fabrication sector, focusing on precision components for communication equipment and automotive systems. The company's core revenue model centers on producing and selling highly engineered metal parts, including powertrain cases, multimedia intelligent system components, and security system brackets. Its product portfolio serves demanding applications requiring tight tolerances and reliability, positioning it within complex industrial supply chains. Cheersson's market position is defined by its technical capabilities in metal forming processes for sectors where precision and durability are critical. The company operates in a competitive landscape where success depends on manufacturing expertise, quality control, and relationships with industrial clients. Its specialization in specific component categories suggests a focused rather than broad market approach within the larger industrial manufacturing ecosystem.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported revenue of approximately 1.77 billion CNY but experienced a net loss of 25.3 million CNY. The negative net income resulted in diluted earnings per share of -0.21 CNY. Operating cash flow was negative at 69.4 million CNY, while capital expenditures were substantial at 128.5 million CNY, indicating significant ongoing investment in production capacity despite current profitability challenges.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power appears constrained, as evidenced by the negative net income and operating cash flow. The substantial capital expenditure program relative to operating cash flow suggests the company is investing heavily in fixed assets, which may impact near-term capital efficiency metrics. The relationship between capital investments and future earnings generation will be critical to monitor as these expenditures mature.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a cash position of 102.7 million CNY against total debt of 266.4 million CNY. This debt level represents a significant obligation relative to the current cash reserves and negative cash flow generation. The balance sheet structure indicates potential liquidity pressures that may require careful management or additional financing support to maintain operational stability during this investment phase.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite the current profitability challenges, the company maintained a dividend payment of 0.15 CNY per share. This dividend distribution during a period of negative earnings and cash flow suggests a commitment to shareholder returns that may be supported by reserves or strategic considerations. The substantial capital expenditures indicate an active growth investment strategy, though current financial results show the transitional costs of this expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately 3.05 billion CNY, the market appears to be valuing the company beyond its current earnings power, potentially reflecting expectations for future growth from recent investments. The beta of 0.574 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, which may indicate investor perception of stable underlying business characteristics despite current financial performance challenges.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic position rests on its specialized manufacturing capabilities in precision metal components for growing industrial sectors. The significant capital investment program suggests management confidence in future demand for its specialized products. The outlook will depend on successfully converting these investments into profitable growth, improving operational efficiency, and managing the current financial leverage while navigating competitive pressures in the industrial manufacturing sector.

Sources

Company Financial ReportsShenzhen Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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