investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueChina Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0587.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.53
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.53

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

China Conch Environment Protection Holdings Limited operates as a specialized waste management company within China's industrials sector, focusing on the treatment of industrial solid and hazardous waste. Its core revenue model is built on providing comprehensive treatment solutions, primarily utilizing proprietary cement kiln waste treatment technologies, which offer an efficient method for waste co-processing. The company generates income through service contracts for waste disposal, resource recycling operations that recover valuable materials, and technical consultation services. This positions it within the critical environmental services niche, addressing China's pressing need for sustainable industrial waste management. As a subsidiary of China Conch Venture Holdings, it leverages significant industrial expertise and network advantages. Its market position is defined by its technological specialization in cement kiln applications, serving industrial clients who require compliant and efficient waste disposal solutions, though it operates in a competitive and highly regulated landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported robust revenue of HKD 1.69 billion for the period, indicating strong top-line performance from its core waste treatment services. However, profitability was challenged, with net income of only HKD 6.28 million, resulting in a very thin net margin. This suggests high operational costs relative to income, potentially linked to the capital-intensive nature of its treatment technologies and the competitive pricing environment.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share were minimal at HKD 0.0034, reflecting the constrained bottom-line result. A positive sign is the strong operating cash flow of HKD 434.1 million, which significantly exceeds net income and indicates healthy cash generation from operations. The absence of reported capital expenditures suggests a potential period of reduced investment or requires further verification.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a cash position of HKD 345.6 million against a substantial total debt of HKD 4.66 billion. This high debt load relative to cash and equity raises concerns about financial leverage and interest coverage, indicating a potentially aggressive capital structure that demands careful monitoring of liquidity and refinancing risks.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintained a dividend policy, distributing HKD 0.03 per share. This payout, against minimal EPS, implies a very high payout ratio, which may not be sustainable if earnings power does not improve. Future growth is likely tied to expansion within China's evolving environmental regulations and its ability to secure new waste treatment contracts.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately HKD 1.24 billion, the market values the company at a significant discount to its annual revenue. The beta of 1.161 indicates higher volatility than the market, reflecting investor perception of risk associated with its financial leverage and the cyclical or regulatory nature of its industry.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Its primary strategic advantage is its specialized cement kiln technology and its affiliation with the larger Conch group, providing operational synergies and client access. The outlook is cautiously tied to China's environmental policy enforcement and industrial demand for waste solutions, though high debt and low margins present ongoing challenges to profitability and stability.

Sources

Company Annual ReportHong Kong Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount