investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueChina Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited (0762.HK)

Previous CloseHK$7.95
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$7.95

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

China Unicom operates as a comprehensive telecommunications service provider in mainland China, generating revenue through cellular and fixed-line subscriptions, broadband internet access, and a diverse portfolio of value-added services. Its core model is built on a vast physical network infrastructure, monetized through service fees to both consumer and enterprise clients. The company is deeply embedded in the nation's digital economy, offering critical connectivity and digital transformation solutions. As one of China's three major state-owned telecom operators, it holds a stable, oligopolistic market position. This structure provides a predictable revenue base but also subjects it to regulatory directives and national service obligations. Its strategy focuses on expanding 5G network coverage, developing cloud and big data services, and integrating Internet of Things (IoT) technologies to capture growth in enterprise digitalization. The company leverages its extensive network assets and government affiliation to secure large-scale contracts, though it faces intense competition in innovative service segments from more agile tech firms.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported robust revenue of HKD 389.6 billion, demonstrating its scale within the telecommunications sector. Net income reached HKD 20.6 billion, translating to a net profit margin of approximately 5.3%. This indicates a business that operates on thin margins, which is characteristic of capital-intensive telecom operators, with efficiency driven by subscriber scale and network utilization.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The firm generated HKD 89.4 billion in operating cash flow, underscoring strong underlying earnings power from its core operations. Capital expenditures of HKD 75.7 billion were significant, reflecting continuous investment in network expansion and technological upgrades. This results in substantial but necessary cash outflows to maintain competitive infrastructure and support future service offerings.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet appears solid with a cash position of HKD 28.5 billion. Total debt stands at HKD 39.8 billion, which is manageable given the company's stable cash flow generation and market position. The moderate debt level and high liquidity suggest a low risk of financial distress, supporting ongoing investment and operational flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is primarily driven by the national rollout of 5G services and expansion into cloud and ICT solutions. The company maintains a shareholder returns policy, distributing a dividend of HKD 0.483 per share. This reflects a commitment to returning capital to investors while balancing the need to fund its substantial capital expenditure requirements for future growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately HKD 297.1 billion, the market values the company at a price-to-earnings multiple derived from its current earnings. A beta of 0.44 suggests the stock is perceived as less volatile than the broader market, likely due to its defensive characteristics and stable regulatory environment, indicating investor expectations of steady, utility-like performance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Key strategic advantages include its entrenched market position as a state-backed operator, extensive network infrastructure, and a growing portfolio of digital services. The outlook is tied to China's digitalization agenda, with growth potential in enterprise services, though tempered by regulatory oversight and competitive pressures in value-added segments, requiring continuous innovation and cost management.

Sources

Company Annual ReportHong Kong Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount