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Intrinsic ValueChina Dredging Environment Protection Holdings Limited (0871.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.09
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.09

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

China Dredging Environment Protection Holdings Limited operates as a specialized marine engineering and environmental services provider in China. Its core business model is segmented into capital and reclamation dredging, environmental protection dredging and water management, and other marine services, generating revenue through project-based contracts. The company serves critical infrastructure needs, including port development, land reclamation, and inland waterway remediation, positioning itself at the intersection of construction and environmental sustainability. Its operations are deeply integrated with national development priorities, including coastal protection and water quality improvement initiatives. The firm has expanded its service portfolio to include marine wind power installation and property management, diversifying its income streams beyond traditional dredging. Its market position is niche, focusing on large-scale, government-influenced projects that require specialized equipment and technical expertise, though it faces intense competition from larger state-owned enterprises.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of HKD 325.2 million for the period, indicating active project execution. However, profitability was severely challenged, with a net loss of HKD 322.1 million and a diluted EPS of -HKD 0.21. This significant loss suggests substantial cost overruns, asset impairments, or challenging contract terms that eroded gross margins.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Operating cash flow was positive at HKD 97.5 million, demonstrating an ability to generate cash from its core operations despite the reported net loss. Capital expenditures were minimal at HKD -1.1 million, indicating a low level of investment in new property, plant, and equipment during this period.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a strained financial position with total debt of HKD 402.0 million significantly outweighing cash and equivalents of HKD 48.9 million. This high leverage ratio, coupled with a substantial net loss, raises concerns about solvency and the company's ability to service its debt obligations without restructuring or additional financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The significant net loss represents a negative growth trend in profitability. The company has a stated dividend policy of no distributions, as confirmed by a dividend per share of HKD 0.00, which is a prudent measure to conserve cash given its current financial challenges.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately HKD 91.7 million, the market is valuing the company at a deep discount to its revenue, reflecting severe concerns over its profitability and financial health. The low beta of 0.395 suggests the stock is perceived as less volatile than the broader market, but this may also indicate low trading liquidity.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its specialization in environmentally focused dredging and its alignment with Chinese national infrastructure and ecological goals. The outlook is highly uncertain, contingent on securing profitable contracts, potentially restructuring its debt, and improving operational efficiency to return to profitability.

Sources

Company Annual ReportHong Kong Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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