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Intrinsic ValueHess Corporation (0J50.L)

Previous Close£147.39
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£147.39

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hess Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production (E&P) company with a diversified portfolio of upstream oil and gas assets. The company generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas, with operations spanning the U.S., Guyana, Malaysia/Thailand, and Suriname. Its two core segments—Exploration and Production, and Midstream—enable integrated operations, from resource extraction to processing and transportation. Hess has strategically positioned itself in high-growth basins, particularly offshore Guyana, where it holds a significant stake in the prolific Stabroek Block alongside ExxonMobil. This asset is a key driver of long-term production growth and reserve replacement. The company’s midstream operations in the Bakken Shale enhance efficiency by providing critical infrastructure for gas gathering, NGL fractionation, and crude logistics. Hess differentiates itself through disciplined capital allocation, a focus on low-breakeven assets, and partnerships that mitigate risk in frontier exploration. Its market position is strengthened by a reserve base of 1.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent, with Guyana representing a transformative growth engine.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In its latest fiscal year, Hess reported revenue of $12.9 billion, supported by robust production volumes and favorable commodity prices. Net income stood at $2.77 billion, reflecting strong operational execution and cost management. The company’s diluted EPS of $8.98 underscores its profitability, while operating cash flow of $5.6 billion highlights its ability to convert production into cash. Capital expenditures of $4.95 billion indicate sustained investment in high-return projects, particularly in Guyana.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Hess demonstrates solid earnings power, with its Guyana operations contributing significantly to margin expansion due to low lifting costs. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its focus on tier-one assets, which generate higher returns on invested capital. Free cash flow, after accounting for capex, supports further reinvestment and shareholder returns, balancing growth and financial discipline.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Hess maintains a balanced financial position, with $1.17 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of $9.46 billion. The debt level is manageable given its cash flow generation and growth trajectory. The company’s liquidity and access to capital markets provide flexibility to fund its development projects without overleveraging.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Hess is poised for sustained production growth, driven by its Guyana developments and Bakken optimization. The company has a progressive dividend policy, with a current annualized dividend of $1.9375 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining funds for growth initiatives.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of $41.5 billion, Hess trades at a premium reflective of its growth potential, particularly in Guyana. The beta of 0.623 suggests lower volatility relative to the broader energy sector, aligning with its stable cash flow profile and strategic asset base.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Hess’s strategic advantages include its high-quality resource base, partnerships in Guyana, and operational efficiency. The outlook remains positive, with Guyana’s phased developments expected to drive long-term value. Risks include commodity price fluctuations and execution challenges in frontier regions, but the company’s disciplined approach mitigates these concerns.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

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