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Intrinsic ValueMarriott International, Inc. (0JYW.L)

Previous Close£317.10
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£317.10

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Marriott International, Inc. is a global leader in the travel lodging sector, operating a diversified portfolio of 30 hotel brands across luxury, premium, and select-service segments. The company generates revenue primarily through franchise fees, management contracts, and direct property operations, leveraging its asset-light model to scale efficiently. With a presence in 139 countries, Marriott holds a dominant market position, supported by strong brand equity and a loyalty program that drives repeat business. Its portfolio includes iconic names like The Ritz-Carlton, W Hotels, and Sheraton, catering to diverse customer segments from luxury travelers to budget-conscious guests. The company’s strategic focus on high-growth markets and digital innovation further strengthens its competitive edge in the hospitality industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Marriott reported revenue of $25.1 billion in the latest fiscal year, with net income reaching $2.38 billion, reflecting robust operational efficiency. The diluted EPS of $8.33 underscores strong profitability, supported by an asset-light model that minimizes capital intensity. Operating cash flow stood at $2.75 billion, though capital expenditures of $750 million indicate ongoing investments in property upgrades and technology. The company’s ability to maintain high margins in a cyclical industry highlights its pricing power and cost discipline.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Marriott’s earnings power is evident in its consistent profitability, driven by franchise and management fees, which require minimal capital investment. The company’s capital efficiency is further demonstrated by its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to its debt levels. With a focus on returning capital to shareholders, Marriott balances growth investments with shareholder-friendly policies, ensuring sustainable returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Marriott’s balance sheet shows $396 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $15.46 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The company’s strong cash flow generation provides ample coverage for debt servicing and dividend payments. While leverage is elevated, the asset-light model mitigates risk, ensuring financial flexibility even in downturns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Marriott’s growth is fueled by global expansion and brand diversification, with a pipeline of new properties under development. The company’s dividend policy, with a payout of $2.56 per share, signals confidence in sustained cash flow generation. Share repurchases and strategic acquisitions further complement its growth strategy, aligning with long-term shareholder value creation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of $70.84 billion and a beta of 1.39, Marriott is priced for growth, reflecting investor confidence in its global footprint and brand strength. The premium valuation accounts for its leadership position and resilience in the cyclical hospitality sector, though macroeconomic risks remain a consideration.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Marriott’s strategic advantages include its diversified brand portfolio, global scale, and loyalty program, which drive customer retention. The outlook remains positive, supported by recovery in travel demand and digital transformation initiatives. However, geopolitical and economic uncertainties could pose challenges, requiring agile management to sustain growth.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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