investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueMercadoLibre, Inc. (0K0E.L)

Previous Close£2,160.18
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£2,160.18

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

MercadoLibre, Inc. is a dominant force in Latin America's e-commerce and fintech sectors, operating through its integrated ecosystem of digital platforms. The company's core revenue model is driven by its Mercado Libre Marketplace, which connects buyers and sellers across the region, complemented by Mercado Pago, a robust fintech platform facilitating online payments, money transfers, and credit services. Additionally, Mercado Envios provides logistics solutions, while Mercado Shops enables merchants to create digital storefronts. The company's diversified offerings, including advertising (Mercado Libre Ads) and classifieds (Mercado Libre Classifieds), solidify its position as a one-stop digital commerce hub. Operating in the high-growth Latin American market, MecadoLibre leverages its first-mover advantage, localized expertise, and network effects to maintain leadership in a competitive landscape dominated by regional and global players. Its ability to integrate payments, logistics, and marketplace services creates a sticky ecosystem that enhances user engagement and monetization opportunities.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

MercadoLibre reported revenue of $20.78 billion in its latest fiscal year, reflecting strong top-line growth driven by e-commerce and fintech adoption. Net income stood at $1.91 billion, with diluted EPS of $37.69, demonstrating improving profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $7.92 billion, while capital expenditures of $860 million indicate continued investment in platform scalability and logistics infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company exhibits strong earnings power, supported by high-margin fintech services and scalable e-commerce operations. Mercado Pago's growth, particularly in off-platform transactions, enhances monetization. Capital efficiency is evident in the company's ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to its revenue base, though reinvestment remains a priority to sustain market leadership in a competitive landscape.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

MercadoLibre maintains a solid balance sheet with $2.64 billion in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for growth initiatives. Total debt of $6.85 billion reflects strategic leverage to fund expansion, but the company's strong cash flow generation mitigates refinancing risks. The absence of dividends aligns with its growth-focused capital allocation strategy.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

MercadoLibre is positioned for sustained growth, benefiting from Latin America's digital transformation and low e-commerce penetration. The company reinvests heavily in technology, logistics, and user acquisition, prioritizing market share gains over short-term profitability. Its dividend policy remains conservative, with no current payouts, as capital is allocated to high-return growth opportunities in its core markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately $129.94 billion, MercadoLibre trades at a premium, reflecting investor confidence in its long-term growth potential in Latin America's digital economy. The beta of 1.613 indicates higher volatility relative to the market, typical for high-growth tech companies in emerging markets.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

MercadoLibre's strategic advantages include its first-mover position, integrated ecosystem, and deep understanding of Latin American consumer behavior. The outlook remains positive, with fintech and logistics services expected to drive higher monetization. However, macroeconomic volatility in key markets like Brazil and Argentina poses risks to near-term performance. The company's focus on innovation and local partnerships should help sustain its competitive edge.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount