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Intrinsic ValueKnorr-Bremse AG (0KBI.L)

Previous Close£98.32
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£98.32

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Knorr-Bremse AG is a global leader in braking and safety-critical systems for rail and commercial vehicles, operating through two core segments: Rail Vehicle Systems and Commercial Vehicle Systems. The company serves a diversified clientele, including manufacturers of trains, trucks, buses, and agricultural machinery, with a product portfolio spanning braking systems, HVAC solutions, digital traffic optimization tools, and driver assistance technologies. Its Rail Vehicle Systems segment dominates the market with advanced braking and entrance systems, while the Commercial Vehicle Systems division provides critical components like steering systems and automated driving solutions for heavy-duty vehicles. Knorr-Bremse’s market position is reinforced by its technological expertise, long-standing industry relationships, and a reputation for reliability in safety-critical applications. The company’s integrated approach—combining hardware, software, and services—positions it as a key enabler of efficiency and automation in the transportation sector. With a heritage dating back to 1905, Knorr-Bremse benefits from deep engineering know-how and a global footprint, allowing it to capitalize on trends like rail modernization and the electrification of commercial fleets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Knorr-Bremse reported revenue of €7.88 billion for the latest fiscal period, with net income of €445 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.6%. The company generated €1.04 billion in operating cash flow, demonstrating strong cash conversion despite capital expenditures of €346 million. Its ability to maintain profitability in a capital-intensive industry underscores disciplined cost management and pricing power in its niche markets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of €2.77 highlights its earnings resilience, supported by a diversified revenue base and recurring demand for aftermarket services. With a robust operating cash flow-to-revenue ratio of 13.2%, Knorr-Bremse efficiently monetizes its investments in R&D and production capacity, ensuring sustained returns in cyclical end markets.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Knorr-Bremse maintains a solid balance sheet, with €2.26 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of €554.8 million, indicating a conservative leverage profile. Its liquidity position and moderate debt levels provide flexibility for strategic investments or M&A, while its subsidiary structure under KB Holding GmbH ensures stable ownership and long-term capital allocation discipline.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth is tied to global rail infrastructure spending and the adoption of advanced safety systems in commercial vehicles. A dividend of €1.75 per share reflects a commitment to shareholder returns, supported by steady cash generation. Future expansion may hinge on electrification trends and regulatory mandates for safer, more efficient transport systems.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of €14.03 billion and a beta of 1.05, Knorr-Bremse is priced as a stable industrial player with moderate sensitivity to market cycles. Investors likely value its defensive positioning in critical transportation subsystems and its potential to benefit from long-term infrastructure upgrades.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Knorr-Bremse’s competitive edge lies in its proprietary technologies, entrenched customer relationships, and aftermarket service network. The outlook remains positive, driven by urbanization, rail decarbonization, and increasing automation in commercial vehicles. However, supply chain volatility and input cost pressures could pose near-term challenges.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

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