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Intrinsic ValueGreat Panther Mining Limited (0R0D.L)

Previous Close£1.50
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
£1.50

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Great Panther Mining Limited is a precious metals mining and exploration company focused on gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc ores. The company operates key assets in Brazil, Mexico, and Peru, including the Tucano gold mine and the Guanajuato mine complex. Its diversified portfolio of exploration properties, such as El Horcón and Santa Rosa, positions it in the competitive but volatile precious metals sector. Great Panther’s revenue model is driven by metal production and sales, with exposure to fluctuating commodity prices. The company’s market position is mid-tier, competing with larger global miners while maintaining operational flexibility. Its geographic diversification mitigates country-specific risks but requires efficient capital allocation to sustain exploration and development. The firm’s transition from silver-focused to a broader precious metals player reflects strategic adaptation to market dynamics.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, Great Panther reported revenue of CAD 137.3 million, but net losses of CAD 31.2 million, reflecting operational challenges and cost pressures. The negative operating cash flow of CAD 0.5 million, combined with significant capital expenditures of CAD 32.5 million, indicates strained liquidity. Diluted EPS stood at -CAD 0.88, underscoring profitability struggles amid high exploration and development costs.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative earnings power is evident from its net loss and weak cash generation. High capital expenditures relative to revenue suggest aggressive reinvestment but raise questions about near-term returns. With no dividend payouts, capital is retained for growth, though efficiency metrics remain under pressure due to operational headwinds and commodity price volatility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Great Panther’s balance sheet shows CAD 35.3 million in cash against total debt of CAD 38.2 million, indicating tight liquidity. The near-parity of debt and cash reserves limits financial flexibility, while sustained losses could further strain solvency. The lack of a dividend policy aligns with its focus on preserving capital for mine development and exploration activities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth is tied to metal production expansion and exploration success, though recent financials show contraction. With no dividends, Great Panther prioritizes reinvestment, but negative cash flows and earnings challenge sustainable growth. Market conditions and operational execution will dictate future trajectory.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of CAD 65.9 million and a beta of -4.39, the stock exhibits high volatility and inverse correlation to broader markets. Investors likely price in significant operational risks and commodity exposure, with valuation reflecting skepticism about near-term turnaround potential.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Great Panther’s diversified asset base and geographic spread provide resilience, but execution risks persist. The outlook hinges on metal price recovery, cost management, and successful exploration. Strategic pivots may be necessary to stabilize finances and attract investor confidence in a competitive sector.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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