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Intrinsic ValueCanvest Environmental Protection Group Company Limited (1381.HK)

Previous CloseHK$4.88
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$4.88

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Canvest Environmental Protection Group operates as a specialized waste-to-energy developer and operator in China's environmental infrastructure sector. The company generates revenue through long-term concession agreements for municipal solid waste processing, converting waste into electricity while providing essential environmental hygiene services. With 35 projects and a processing capacity of nearly 52,000 tonnes daily, Canvest holds a significant position in China's growing waste management market. The company's integrated approach combines waste handling, energy generation, and smart parking operations, positioning it as a comprehensive environmental solutions provider. Its subsidiary status under Best Approach Developments provides strategic backing in a capital-intensive industry requiring substantial project development expertise and government relationships. The waste-to-energy sector benefits from China's urbanization trends and environmental policies, creating stable demand for modern waste processing infrastructure.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 4.20 billion in revenue with net income of HKD 866 million, demonstrating solid profitability with a 20.6% net margin. Operating cash flow of HKD 1.16 billion significantly exceeded capital expenditures of HKD 403 million, indicating strong cash generation from existing operations. This efficiency supports ongoing project development while maintaining financial stability in a capital-intensive sector.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of HKD 0.38 reflects the company's earnings capacity relative to its share base. The substantial operating cash flow generation relative to net income suggests quality earnings backed by cash conversion. The business model demonstrates capital efficiency through long-term concession agreements that provide predictable revenue streams against fixed asset investments in waste processing facilities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains HKD 1.81 billion in cash against total debt of HKD 13.29 billion, indicating leveraged operations typical for infrastructure developers. The debt level supports project development but requires careful management of cash flows to service obligations. The balance sheet structure reflects the capital-intensive nature of waste-to-energy project development and operation.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company paid a dividend of HKD 0.032 per share, representing a payout ratio of approximately 8.4% based on diluted EPS. This conservative dividend policy suggests retention of earnings for future project development and expansion. Growth is driven by securing additional waste processing concessions and expanding capacity within existing projects in China's developing environmental infrastructure market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of HKD 11.86 billion, the company trades at approximately 13.7 times earnings and 2.8 times revenue. The negative beta of -0.043 suggests low correlation with broader market movements, reflecting the defensive characteristics of essential waste management services. Valuation metrics incorporate expectations for stable cash flows from long-term concessions.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Canvest benefits from China's increasing urbanization and environmental regulation driving waste-to-energy demand. Its project portfolio and operational expertise provide competitive advantages in securing new concessions. The outlook remains positive given ongoing infrastructure development needs, though dependent on regulatory support and capital allocation efficiency for continued expansion.

Sources

Company annual reportsHong Kong Stock Exchange filingsCorporate website information

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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