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Intrinsic ValueJustin Allen Holdings Limited (1425.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.62
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.62

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Justin Allen Holdings Limited operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer and seller of sleepwear, loungewear, and casual apparel, primarily serving international markets from its base in China. The company's core revenue model is built on manufacturing and wholesale distribution, with a product portfolio that also includes greige fabrics and garment processing services for third parties. This positions it within the competitive global apparel manufacturing sector, where it acts as a supplier to retailers and brands rather than a consumer-facing name. Its market position is that of a specialized contract manufacturer and private-label supplier, leveraging cost-effective production capabilities in China to serve customers in North America and Europe. The company's subsidiary structure under Strategic King Holdings suggests a focus on operational execution within a broader corporate framework, competing on reliability, price, and production capacity in a fragmented industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 1.07 billion in revenue for the period, with net income of HKD 170.4 million, indicating a healthy net profit margin of approximately 16%. Operating cash flow was strong at HKD 150.5 million, significantly exceeding capital expenditures of HKD 22.8 million, reflecting efficient cash generation from core operations and disciplined investment in maintaining production assets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share stood at HKD 0.14, demonstrating the company's ability to translate operational performance into shareholder returns. The substantial operating cash flow relative to net income suggests high-quality earnings, with efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures are modest compared to cash flow, indicating a capital-light model focused on operational efficiency rather than aggressive expansion.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet appears robust with HKD 418.5 million in cash and equivalents against only HKD 29.5 million in total debt, resulting in a net cash position. This conservative financial structure provides significant liquidity and financial flexibility, with low leverage reducing financial risk and supporting stability in the cyclical apparel manufacturing industry.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a dividend policy, distributing HKD 0.056 per share, which represents a 40% payout ratio based on EPS. This indicates a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining earnings for operational needs. The company's international revenue diversification across China, North America, and Europe provides some insulation against regional economic fluctuations.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of HKD 812.5 million, the company trades at approximately 0.76 times revenue and 4.8 times net income. The low beta of 0.164 suggests the stock exhibits lower volatility than the broader market, potentially reflecting its stable business model and strong balance sheet rather than expectations for aggressive growth.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's key advantages include vertical integration, long-established operations since 1983, and a net cash position providing financial stability. Its outlook depends on maintaining cost-competitive manufacturing while navigating global supply chain dynamics and apparel demand cycles. The subsidiary status may provide strategic flexibility within a larger corporate structure.

Sources

Company public filingsHong Kong Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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