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Intrinsic ValueSuchuang Gas Corporation Limited (1430.HK)

Previous CloseHK$2.42
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$2.42

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Suchuang Gas Corporation Limited operates as a natural gas distributor serving industrial, commercial, and residential customers across Mainland China and internationally. The company's core revenue model centers on the distribution and sale of piped natural gas, supplemented by construction services for gas pipeline installation and operation of CNG/LNG refueling stations. As a regional utility player in China's regulated gas sector, Suchuang Gas maintains strategic positioning through its infrastructure network that serves approximately 595 commercial/industrial clients and 250,000 residential users. The company diversifies its operations through upstream investments, port facilities, and contract energy management services, creating multiple revenue streams while leveraging its technical expertise in gas transmission and distribution. Its market position is strengthened by ownership of critical energy infrastructure, including five refueling stations across key locations in Guangyuan, Taicang, and Suzhou, providing essential energy services to growing urban and industrial centers.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 1.18 billion in revenue for FY2020 with net income of HKD 54.3 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.6%. Operating cash flow of HKD 14.0 million was substantially lower than net income, indicating potential working capital pressures or timing differences in cash collection. Capital expenditures of HKD 59.9 million suggest ongoing investment in infrastructure expansion and maintenance.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Suchuang Gas demonstrated modest earnings power with diluted EPS of HKD 0.0601. The significant gap between operating cash flow and net income warrants further analysis of receivables and inventory management. The company maintained a dividend payout ratio that appears substantial relative to earnings, suggesting a commitment to shareholder returns despite moderate profitability levels.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintained a strong liquidity position with HKD 505.1 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of HKD 310.1 million, indicating comfortable debt coverage. This conservative financial structure provides flexibility for strategic investments while mitigating financial risk in the capital-intensive utilities sector.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Suchuang Gas maintained a dividend per share of HKD 0.243, representing a significant payout relative to earnings. The company's growth strategy appears focused on expanding its customer base and infrastructure network, particularly through CNG/LNG station development and pipeline construction services, targeting China's ongoing energy transition toward cleaner fuels.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a beta of 0.22, the stock exhibits low volatility relative to the market, typical of regulated utility companies. The market appears to price the stock with expectations of stable, regulated returns rather than aggressive growth, reflecting the defensive characteristics of gas distribution utilities.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company benefits from its established infrastructure and regulatory positioning in China's growing natural gas market. Strategic advantages include geographic diversification across multiple regions and vertical integration through construction services. The outlook remains tied to China's energy policy favoring natural gas adoption and urban development trends in its operating regions.

Sources

Company annual reportHong Kong Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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