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Intrinsic ValueFinancial Street Securities Co., Limited (1476.HK)

Previous CloseHK$1.72
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$1.72

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hengtai Securities operates as a comprehensive securities firm in China's competitive financial services sector, providing a diversified suite of capital market services. The company generates revenue through four core segments: brokerage and wealth management serving retail and institutional clients with trading, margin financing, and investment products; investment banking offering underwriting and advisory services to corporations; proprietary trading involving direct investments across various securities; and investment management through asset management and private equity activities. With 122 branches across China and a founding date of 1988, Hengtai has established a regional presence particularly in serving small and medium enterprises alongside institutional investors. The firm's market position reflects the broader Chinese securities industry characteristics, facing intense competition from both state-owned giants and agile private competitors while navigating regulatory evolution in China's financial markets. Its business model demonstrates typical revenue diversification across market cycles but remains exposed to capital market volatility and regulatory changes affecting commission structures and proprietary trading activities.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Hengtai Securities generated HKD 2.35 billion in revenue with net income of HKD 176 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 7.5%. The company reported negative operating cash flow of HKD 1.12 billion, which is not uncommon for securities firms due to the nature of their trading activities and client margin financing operations. Capital expenditures were minimal at HKD 79 million, indicating a asset-light operational model typical for financial services firms.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company reported diluted EPS of HKD 0.0677, demonstrating modest earnings generation relative to its market capitalization. The negative operating cash flow primarily reflects the working capital-intensive nature of securities trading and margin financing activities rather than operational inefficiency. The firm's capital allocation appears focused on maintaining sufficient liquidity for market-making and client servicing requirements in volatile market conditions.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Hengtai maintains HKD 1.91 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of HKD 10.03 billion, indicating significant financial leverage common in the securities industry. The debt structure likely supports trading operations and client margin financing activities. The balance sheet strength is adequate for regulatory capital requirements but reflects the inherent leverage in securities trading businesses.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintained a zero dividend policy, retaining earnings to support capital requirements for regulatory compliance and business expansion. Growth trends are tied to China's capital market development, regulatory environment, and competitive dynamics in the securities industry. The firm's expansion potential depends on market share gains and diversification into higher-margin services beyond traditional brokerage.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of HKD 5.26 billion, the company trades at approximately 2.2 times revenue and 30 times earnings. The low beta of 0.083 suggests the market perceives limited correlation with broader market movements, possibly reflecting the firm's specific operational characteristics or trading patterns unique to Chinese securities firms.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Hengtai's strategic position benefits from its established branch network and comprehensive service offerings across China's growing capital markets. The outlook depends on China's economic growth, financial market liberalization, and the company's ability to compete effectively against larger state-owned securities firms while navigating regulatory changes and market volatility inherent in the securities industry.

Sources

Company annual reportsHong Kong Stock Exchange filingsFinancial regulatory disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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