investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueChinney Kin Wing Holdings Limited (1556.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.37
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.37

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Chinney Kin Wing Holdings Limited is a specialized engineering contractor operating within Hong Kong's industrials sector, focusing on critical ground engineering and foundation construction. The company generates revenue through two primary segments: Foundation Construction and Ancillary Services, and Drilling and Site Investigation. Its service portfolio includes bored piling, percussive H-piling, mini-piling, sheet piling, site investigation, and related ground engineering services, catering to both public infrastructure projects and private sector developments. The firm maintains a niche market position by offering comprehensive solutions from initial site investigation to complex foundation work, supported by equipment leasing and construction material testing services. As a subsidiary of Chinney Alliance Group Limited, it leverages group synergies while operating as a specialized entity in Hong Kong's competitive construction landscape, serving clients domestically and internationally with technically demanding engineering solutions.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of HKD 2.49 billion with net income of HKD 127.1 million, indicating a net profit margin of approximately 5.1%. Strong operating cash flow of HKD 399.9 million significantly exceeded net income, demonstrating efficient cash conversion from operations. The absence of capital expenditures suggests a capital-light model or potential reliance on existing equipment.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at HKD 0.0847, reflecting the company's earnings capacity relative to its share count. The substantial operating cash flow generation relative to net income indicates robust underlying operational performance and efficient working capital management. The zero capital expenditure figure suggests either minimal investment requirements or potential deferred capital spending.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains an exceptionally strong financial position with HKD 562.5 million in cash and equivalents and zero debt, resulting in a net cash position. This conservative capital structure provides significant financial flexibility and resilience against market downturns. The absence of leverage indicates a low-risk financial profile with ample liquidity for operations and potential opportunities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company distributed a dividend of HKD 0.02 per share, representing a payout ratio of approximately 23.6% based on diluted EPS. The dividend policy appears conservative, aligning with the company's capital preservation strategy. Growth prospects are tied to Hong Kong's construction cycle and infrastructure development spending, both in public and private sectors.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of HKD 517.5 million, the company trades at approximately 4.1 times trailing earnings and 0.21 times revenue. The low beta of 0.223 suggests the market perceives the stock as defensive with lower volatility relative to the broader market. These multiples reflect market expectations for stable but modest growth in the construction sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its specialized technical expertise in ground engineering, strong parent company backing, and debt-free balance sheet. Outlook depends on Hong Kong's infrastructure investment cycle and the company's ability to secure contracts in both public and private sectors. Its financial strength positions it well to weather market cycles and potentially capture opportunities during industry downturns.

Sources

Company annual reportHong Kong Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount