investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueCRCC High-Tech Equipment Corporation Limited (1786.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.91
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.91

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

CRCC High-Tech Equipment Corporation Limited operates as a specialized manufacturer of large railway track maintenance machinery, serving both domestic Chinese and international markets. The company's core revenue model centers on the research, development, and sale of sophisticated maintenance equipment including tamping machines, ballast cleaning systems, stabilization machines, and rail processing equipment. As a subsidiary of China Railway Construction Corporation Limited, it benefits from strong parentage within China's extensive railway infrastructure sector, positioning it as a key supplier to national railway projects. The company maintains a comprehensive product portfolio that addresses the entire lifecycle of railway maintenance, from initial construction to ongoing upkeep, while also providing critical overhaul services and parts manufacturing. Its market position is strengthened by vertical integration capabilities and long-standing relationships within China's state-driven railway expansion initiatives, creating a relatively defensible niche in the specialized industrial equipment segment.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 3.12 billion in revenue for the period, achieving a net income of HKD 128.2 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.1%. Operating cash flow of HKD 283.2 million significantly exceeded net income, indicating strong cash conversion efficiency. Capital expenditures of HKD 26.8 million were modest relative to operating cash flow, suggesting disciplined investment in maintaining production capacity.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share stood at HKD 0.0844, with the company maintaining positive operational performance despite sector-specific challenges. The substantial operating cash flow generation relative to net income demonstrates effective working capital management and operational efficiency. The company's capital allocation appears focused on sustaining rather than aggressively expanding production capabilities given the moderate capex levels.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet exhibits exceptional strength with HKD 1.75 billion in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of HKD 16.1 million, resulting in a net cash position. This conservative financial structure provides significant liquidity buffers and financial flexibility. The minimal leverage and substantial cash reserves position the company to withstand industry cyclicality and pursue selective growth opportunities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintained a dividend per share of HKD 0.031, representing a payout ratio of approximately 37% based on diluted EPS. This indicates a commitment to shareholder returns while retaining earnings for operational needs. Growth prospects are tied to China's ongoing railway infrastructure development and export opportunities for specialized maintenance equipment in international markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately HKD 1.49 billion, the company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of around 11 based on current earnings. The beta of 0.425 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, reflecting the defensive characteristics of its railway infrastructure niche. Valuation metrics appear reasonable given the company's specialized market position and financial stability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its affiliation with China Railway Construction Corporation, providing stable demand from national railway projects, and its specialized expertise in maintenance machinery. The outlook remains cautiously positive given China's continued infrastructure investment, though dependent on government spending priorities. Technological innovation in railway maintenance equipment presents opportunities for market expansion and product differentiation.

Sources

Company annual reportsHong Kong Stock Exchange filingsBloomberg financial data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount