investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueYantai North Andre Juice Co.,Ltd. (2218.HK)

Previous CloseHK$16.13
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$16.13

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Yantai North Andre Juice operates as a specialized manufacturer and global exporter of fruit and vegetable juice concentrates, purees, and related products, serving the beverage industry worldwide. The company's core revenue model centers on processing agricultural raw materials into value-added juice concentrates and derivatives, which it sells to beverage manufacturers, food processors, and industrial clients across multiple continents. Its diverse product portfolio includes apple juice concentrate, pear juice concentrate, various fruit purees, essences, and by-products like biological feed, creating multiple revenue streams from single raw material sources. Operating within the competitive non-alcoholic beverage ingredients sector, the company has established a strong market position as a vertically integrated processor with comprehensive capabilities from raw material procurement to finished product export. Its strategic location in Yantai, a major agricultural region in China, provides access to abundant fruit resources while maintaining cost advantages in production. The company's extensive export network spanning Asia, Europe, North America, Africa, Oceania, and South America demonstrates its global reach and competitive positioning as a reliable supplier to international beverage brands and food manufacturers seeking consistent quality fruit ingredients.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 1.42 billion in revenue with net income of HKD 260.7 million, achieving a healthy net margin of approximately 18.4%. However, operating cash flow was negative HKD 109.2 million, primarily due to significant capital expenditures of HKD 162.4 million, indicating substantial investment in production capacity and operational infrastructure during the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With diluted EPS of HKD 0.75 and robust profitability metrics, the company demonstrates solid earnings generation capability. The negative operating cash flow relative to positive net income suggests working capital investments or timing differences in receivables and inventory management, though the absence of debt enhances capital efficiency and financial flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a strong financial position with HKD 236.5 million in cash and equivalents and zero debt, indicating exceptional financial health and liquidity. This debt-free structure provides significant operational flexibility and reduces financial risk, particularly important given the capital-intensive nature of food processing operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates shareholder-friendly policies with a dividend per share of HKD 0.273, representing a payout ratio of approximately 36% based on EPS. The substantial capital expenditures suggest ongoing investment in growth initiatives and capacity expansion, positioning the company for future market opportunities in the global juice concentrate industry.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of HKD 13.75 billion and a beta of 0.147, the company trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 53x based on current earnings, reflecting market expectations for future growth in the specialty beverage ingredients sector. The low beta indicates relative stability compared to broader market movements.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's vertically integrated model, global export capabilities, and diverse product portfolio provide competitive advantages in the juice concentrate market. Its debt-free balance sheet and strong profitability support continued investment in technology and capacity expansion, positioning it well to capitalize on growing global demand for natural fruit ingredients and specialty beverage solutions.

Sources

Company financial statementsHong Kong Stock Exchange filingsCompany description and financial data provided

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount